Result
3:2
25/03/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Sul-Sudeste - Round 1
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 2', 1 - 0, Sousa Rocha Leandro J. ⚽,
- 20', Roger Carvalho ↓, Donato ↑,
- 33', Tedesco N. 🟨,
- 36', 2 - 0, Felipinho ⚽,
- 42', 3 - 0, Felipinho ⚽,
- 45+3', Wanderson 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Samuel ↓, Marcio Vitor ↑,
- 57', Tedesco N. ↓, Kauan F. ↑,
- 66', Vinicius Gugel ↓, Juninho ↑,
- 70', Felipinho ↓, Jupi ↑,
- 71', PH ↓, Xavier ↑,
- 74', 3 - 1, Santos K. ⚽,
- 76', Rony Fernandes ↓, Diego Leandro ↑,
- 83', Joao Vittor 🟨,
- 84', Joao Vittor ↓, Ferreira da Silva D. ↑,
- 85', Alemao ↓, Melo V. ↑,
- 86', Jamerson 🟨,
- 89', 3 - 2, Melo V. ⚽,
- 90', Luiz Felipe 🟨,
Chances of winning
Tombense 66.3% | Draw 20.7% | Avaí 13% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tombense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tombense's performance.Avaí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tombense than the current prediction. (-6.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tombense that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
Tombense - Avaí Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.42 ↓ (1.55) |
4.53 ↑ (3.58) |
7.24 ↑ (5.64) |
6.5% (10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Tombense is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Avaí has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Avaí may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Tombense is the team to beat.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Tombense won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 1:2.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Tombense won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Tombense won against Avaí?
Tombense has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Avaí won against Tombense?
Avaí has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tombense - Avaí were as follows:
19.08.2023
Avaí
-
Tombense
4:2
06.05.2023
Tombense
-
Avaí
0:1
Latest results of Tombense
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste Table
2026Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | SER Caxias | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 7 |
| 2 | Chapecoense-SC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Sampaio Correa FE | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 5 |
| 4 | Novorizontino | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 4 |
| 5 | Tombense | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 4 |
| 6 | Cianorte | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 2 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Volta Redonda | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Operario-PR | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | America MG | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Sao Bernardo | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 1 |
| 5 | Avai | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 1 |
| 6 | Juventude | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:5 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Copa Sul~Sudeste (Play Offs: )