Result
1:1
12/03/2026 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 5
- Referee: Lacerda D. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 Mexico | Azteca Deportes |
 Peru | Liga 1 Max |
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 1.59 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (211/270) | 83% (363/436) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 1.59 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 0.89 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (211/270) | 83% (363/436) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (27/55) | 49% (21/43) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (32/56) | 73% (123/169) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 44% (7/16) | 22% (5/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 1.21 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (11/20) | 61% (14/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.89 | 1.15 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.11 | 0.15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 7', 1 - 0, Carlos Vinicius ⚽, Enamorado J. (A),
- 22', Mosquera H. 🟨,
- 38', Lucas Barbosa 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Gabriel ↓, Matheus Fernandes ↑,
- 54', Enamorado J. 🟨,
- 60', Gabriel Mec ↓, Caio Paulista ↑,
- 60', Monsalve M. ↓, Dodi ↑,
- 63', Herrera J. ↓, Pitta I. ↑,
- 63', Gustavo Neves ↓, Rodriguinho ↑,
- 66', 1 - 1, Rodriguinho ⚽, Juninho Capixaba (A),
- 67', Rodriguinho 🟨,
- 69', Enamorado J. ↓, Roger ↑,
- 70', Marlon 🟨,
- 79', Hurtado A. ↓, Eduardo Santos ↑,
- 82', Eduardo Sasha ↓, Sosa I. ↑,
- 90+2', Nardoni J. ↓, Perez L. ↑,
- 90+4', Juninho Capixaba 🟨,
Chances of winning
Grêmio
46.3% | Draw
27.7% | Red Bull Bragantino
26% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grêmio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)Red Bull Bragantino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Bull Bragantino than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Grêmio - Red Bull Bragantino Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.08 ↑
(1.97) |
3.5 ↓
(3.67) |
3.83 ↑
(3.43) |
2.8%
(7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Grêmio - Red Bull Bragantino?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Grêmio will win
(19 of 20 users predict this - 95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 85.45% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Grêmio will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grêmio won 0.
- Grêmio is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- RB Bragantino has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Grêmio may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Grêmio might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Grêmio: Braithwaite M.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Perez L.
(Inactive)
Villasanti M.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in RB Bragantino: Alix Vinicius
(Red Card)
Fabinho
(Red Card)
Fabricio
(Inactive)
Rodriguez G.
(Knee Injury)
Rodriguinho
(Injury)
Sant'Anna A.
(Inactive)
Vanderlan
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Grêmio: Arthur Melo
(Injury)
- There are questionable in RB Bragantino: Pitta I.
(Injury)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Grêmio won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 1.1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Grêmio won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 1.8:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio won against Red Bull Bragantino?
Grêmio has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Red Bull Bragantino won against Grêmio?
Red Bull Bragantino has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Grêmio - Red Bull Bragantino were as follows:
04.10.2025
Red Bull Bragantino
-
Grêmio
1:0
10.05.2025
Grêmio
-
Red Bull Bragantino
1:1
15.09.2024
Red Bull Bragantino
-
Grêmio
2:2
01.06.2024
Grêmio
-
Red Bull Bragantino
0:2
14.09.2023
Red Bull Bragantino
-
Grêmio
2:0
Latest results of Red Bull Bragantino
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sao Paulo | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 10:3 | 7 | 16 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14:7 | 7 | 13 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10:6 | 4 | 13 |
| 4 | Bahia | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 11 |
| 5 | Flamengo RJ | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 10 |
| 6 | Coritiba | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 10 |
| 7 | Gremio | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10:10 | 0 | 8 |
| 8 | Corinthians | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 8 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 8 |
| 10 | Athletico-PR | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 | Vitoria | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 7 |
| 12 | Chapecoense-SC | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9:9 | 0 | 6 |
| 13 | Mirassol | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8:8 | 0 | 6 |
| 14 | Santos | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9:11 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 | Vasco | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 5 |
| 16 | Atletico-MG | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 5 |
| 17 | Botafogo RJ | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 3 |
| 18 | Remo | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6:11 | -5 | 3 |
| 19 | Cruzeiro | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7:14 | -7 | 3 |
| 20 | Internacional | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3:8 | -5 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
