Forward Madison vs One Knoxville – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

09/08/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Breese Stevens Field (Madison, WI).

USL League One
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.04	1.11
Ball Possession
60%	40%
Total shots
15	13
Shots on target
5	4
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
4	4
Passes
89% (408/458)	83% (250/301)
Yellow Cards
2	1
Expected Goals (xG)
2.04	1.11
xG on target (xGOT)
2.17	0.69
Total shots
15	13
Shots on target
5	4
Shots off target
5	6
Blocked Shots
5	3
Shots inside the Box
11	9
Shots outside the Box
4	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Headed Goals
1	1
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
4	4
Touches in opposition box
25	19
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	2
Free Kicks
12	10
Passes
89% (408/458)	83% (250/301)
Long passes
55% (26/47)	61% (39/64)
Passes in final third
79% (105/133)	65% (58/89)
Crosses
38% (5/13)	36% (4/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.33	0.53
Throw-ins
9	15
Fouls
10	12
Tackles
60% (6/10)	78% (7/9)
Duels won
33	38
Clearances
20	19
Interceptions
6	5
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	3
xGOT faced
0.69	2.17
Goals prevented
-1.31	0.17

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', Crull J. 🟨,
40', 0 - 1, Diene B. ⚽, Goling M. (A),
45+2', Mesias A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Bull ↓, Ritchie S. ↑,
51', 1 - 1, Gebhard D. ⚽,
57', Johnson C. 🟨,
62', Diene B. ↓, Meek L. ↑,
62', Rosamilia N. ↓, Smith K. ↑,
66', 1 - 2, Haugli S. ⚽,
69', Garcia C. ↓, Viader D. ↑,
69', Mesias A. ↓, Angking I. ↑,
77', Lucca Dourado ↓, Boyce D. ↑,
82', Zarokostas S. ↓, Calixtro G. ↑,
87', Murphy J. ↓, Temitayo E. ↑,
90', Goling M. ↓, Caputo A. ↑,
90+2', 2 - 2, McLaughlin G. ⚽, Chilaka M. (A),

Chances of winning

Forward Madison
31.3%

Draw
29.6%

One Knoxville
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

30.7%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

31.7%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Forward Madison has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

One Knoxville has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting One Knoxville's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forward Madison than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Forward Madison, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for One Knoxville than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for One Knoxville, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Forward Madison - One Knoxville Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↑ (2.56)	3.1 ↑ (3.01)	2.34 ↓ (2.77)	9.3% (8.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

Preview Facts

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Forward Madison won 1.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
One Knoxville may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, One Knoxville has had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Forward Madison won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 0.6:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Forward Madison won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 0.6:0.4).

How many head-to-head matches has Forward Madison won against One Knoxville?

Forward Madison has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has One Knoxville won against Forward Madison?

One Knoxville has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Forward Madison - One Knoxville were as follows:

09.05.2025 One Knoxville - Forward Madison 1:1

19.10.2024 Forward Madison - One Knoxville 0:0

01.10.2024 One Knoxville - Forward Madison 1:1

29.06.2024 One Knoxville - Forward Madison 2:0

25.05.2024 Forward Madison - One Knoxville 1:0

Latest results of Forward Madison

06.08.2025 Chattanooga Red Wolves - Forward Madison 2:1 ✺

02.08.2025 Forward Madison - AV Alta 0:0 ✺

26.07.2025 Birmingham Legion - Forward Madison 2:1 ✺

23.07.2025 Forward Madison - South Georgia Tormenta 1:0 ✺

16.07.2025 Forward Madison - Charlotte Independence 1:1 ✺

Latest results of One Knoxville

02.08.2025 One Knoxville - Portland Hearts of Pine 1:0 ✺

30.07.2025 One Knoxville - Charlotte Independence 2:2 ✺

26.07.2025 Chattanooga Red Wolves - One Knoxville 1:0 ✺

19.07.2025 One Knoxville - Westchester SC 1:1 ✺

16.07.2025 One Knoxville - AV Alta 3:1 ✺

USL League One Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Chattanooga Red Wolves ✔	27	13	10	4	37:26	11	49
2	One Knoxville ✔	27	13	9	5	37:24	13	48
3	Spokane Velocity ✔	26	13	7	6	36:26	10	46
4	FC Naples ✔	26	12	8	6	37:27	10	44
5	Portland Hearts of Pine	26	10	10	6	37:30	7	40
6	Union Omaha	26	11	5	10	43:36	7	38
7	Tormenta	27	11	5	11	47:45	2	38
8	Charlotte Independ	27	9	7	11	41:44	-3	34
9	Forward Madison	27	7	11	9	28:33	-5	32
10	AV Alta	27	7	11	9	36:42	-6	32
11	Greenville	27	8	7	12	37:38	-1	31
12	Texoma	27	6	9	12	33:50	-17	27
13	Richmond Kickers	27	7	5	15	38:49	-11	26
14	Westchester SC	27	4	8	15	38:55	-17	20

Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: )

Clinched Spots for Teams

Chattanooga Red Wolves is Qualified for USL League One (Play Offs )
One Knoxville is Qualified for USL League One (Play Offs )
Spokane Velocity is Qualified for USL League One (Play Offs )
FC Naples is Qualified for USL League One (Play Offs )