San Martín de Tucumán vs Patronato Parana – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

28/06/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

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Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play

Match Stats


Ball Possession
52%	48%
Total shots
5	10
Shots on target
2	5
Corner Kicks
5	3
Yellow Cards
2	2
Red Cards
1	0
Total shots
5	10
Shots on target
2	5
Shots off target
3	5
Corner Kicks
5	3
Goalkeeper Saves
4	2

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Moreyra F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', 0 - 1, Bonansea A. ⚽, Moreno E. (A),
59', Moreno E. ↓, Escobar I. ↑,
67', Castro F. ↓, Sanchez G. ↑,
67', Garcia F. ↓, Cainelli N. ↑,
68', Hachen G. ↓, Cisnero A. ↑,
75', Rodriguez G. 🟨,
78', Zuliani H. ↓, Spetale A. ↑,
86', Cuevas J. ↓, Soraire J. ↑,
86', Marcioni J. ↓, Asis G. ↑,
86', Gallucci S. ↓, Picco A. R. ↑,
88', Sand D. 🟨,
90+1', Soraire J. 🟥,
90+8', Rueda M. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

San Martín de Tucumán
55.1%

Draw
27.8%

Patronato Parana
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

29.6%

24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

28.6%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Martín de Tucumán has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in San Martín de Tucumán's performance.

Patronato Parana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Patronato Parana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Martín de Tucumán than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with San Martín de Tucumán that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Patronato Parana than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Patronato Parana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

San Martín de Tucumán - Patronato Parana Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (2)	3.33 ↑ (3.1)	5.4 ↑ (3.75)	8% (8.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for San Martín de Tucumán - Patronato Parana?

Users Predictions: San Martín de Tucumán will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Martin T won 5.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Recently, Patronato has had a series of home games.
In this match, San Martin T is the team to beat.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, San Martin T won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:5. (average 2:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, San Martin T won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).

How many head-to-head matches has San Martín de Tucumán won against Patronato Parana?

San Martín de Tucumán has won 5 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Patronato Parana won against San Martín de Tucumán?

Patronato Parana has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between San Martín de Tucumán - Patronato Parana were as follows:

23.02.2025 Patronato Parana - San Martín de Tucumán 0:1

06.10.2024 Patronato Parana - San Martín de Tucumán 0:1

20.05.2024 San Martín de Tucumán - Patronato Parana 2:0

17.09.2023 Patronato Parana - San Martín de Tucumán 1:3

07.05.2023 San Martín de Tucumán - Patronato Parana 2:0

Latest results of San Martín de Tucumán

22.06.2025 Ferro Carril Oeste - San Martín de Tucumán 0:2 ✺

14.06.2025 San Martín de Tucumán - Club Almagro 1:1 ✺

31.05.2025 San Martín de Tucumán - San Miguel 0:1 ✺

26.05.2025 Quilmes - San Martín de Tucumán 1:2 ✺

17.05.2025 San Martín de Tucumán - Racing de Córdoba 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Patronato Parana

22.06.2025 Patronato Parana - Güemes 1:1 ✺

15.06.2025 Patronato Parana - Los Andes 0:0 ✺

01.06.2025 Patronato Parana - Ferro Carril Oeste 3:0 ✺

25.05.2025 Club Almagro - Patronato Parana 2:1 ✺

19.05.2025 Patronato Parana - San Miguel 2:1 ✺

Argentinian Primera Nacional Table

2025

Group A

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Deportivo Madryn	31	15	11	5	43:26	17	56
2	Atletico Atlanta	31	13	12	6	28:23	5	51
3	San Miguel	31	12	12	7	30:25	5	48
4	Gimnasia y Tiro	31	12	11	8	30:18	12	47
5	San Martin T	31	12	11	8	29:25	4	47
6	Tristan Suarez	31	10	16	5	28:21	7	46
7	Patronato	31	12	10	9	30:25	5	46
8	Deportivo Maipu	31	10	12	9	28:27	1	42
9	Los Andes	31	10	10	11	28:26	2	40
10	Racing Cordoba	31	9	11	11	35:39	-4	38
11	Colegiales	31	10	8	13	21:25	-4	38
12	Quilmes	31	8	12	11	29:30	-1	36
13	All Boys	31	7	15	9	23:25	-2	36
14	Almagro	31	7	13	11	24:29	-5	34
15	Club A. Guemes	31	6	15	10	26:32	-6	33
16	Ferro	31	7	11	13	19:32	-13	32
17	Arsenal Sarandi	31	7	10	14	31:43	-12	31
18	Alvarado	31	5	14	12	17:28	-11	29

Group B

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Estudiantes Rio Cuarto	31	15	11	5	32:18	14	56
2	Gimnasia Mendoza	31	15	11	5	31:17	14	56
3	Gimnasia Jujuy	31	14	12	5	32:15	17	54
4	Deportivo Moron	31	14	11	6	32:18	14	53
5	CA Estudiantes	31	15	7	9	36:20	16	52
6	Temperley	31	13	12	6	26:19	7	51
7	Chaco For Ever	31	14	7	10	31:24	7	49
8	Chacarita Juniors	31	12	12	7	35:24	11	48
9	Agropecuario	31	13	9	9	39:33	6	48
10	Def. de Belgrano	31	10	12	9	26:24	2	42
11	San Telmo	31	9	11	11	28:36	-8	38
12	Nueva Chicago	31	9	10	12	26:30	-4	37
13	CA Mitre	31	9	9	13	25:27	-2	36
14	Central Norte	31	9	6	16	24:36	-12	33
15	Almirante Brown	31	7	11	13	24:34	-10	32
16	Colon Santa Fe	31	8	4	19	21:38	-17	28
17	Talleres (R.E)	31	5	5	21	15:36	-21	20
18	Defensores Unidos	31	3	10	18	17:51	-34	19

      Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
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