San Marcos de Arica vs Santiago Wanderers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:0
16/03/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga de Ascenso - Round 4

Match Stats

Ball possession
54%46%
Total shots
92
Shots on target
30
Corner kicks
77
Yellow cards
44
Red cards
10
Total shots
92
Shots on target
30
Shots off target
62
Corner kicks
77

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 15', Maidana A. 🟨,
  • 18', Maidana A. 🟨,
  • 31', Caceres C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Caceres C. , Lobos F. ,
  • 46', Luco E. , Javier Parraguez ,
  • 51', Villarroel M. 🟨,
  • 64', Cubillos G. 🟨,
  • 67', Donadell N. , Reyes G. ,
  • 68', Abalos A. , Sagredo B. ,
  • 69', Barrios A. 🟨,
  • 76', Margas L. , Espinoza V. ,
  • 82', Melivilu Fuentes C. , Zedan N. ,
  • 83', Barrios A. , Orrego I. ,
  • 83', Silva J. , Vera V. ,
  • 83', Villarroel M. , Portilla D. ,
  • 84', Lobos F. 🟨,
  • 90', Herrera A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


San Marcos de Arica
40.2%
Draw
29.1%
Santiago Wanderers
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.5% 27.3% 27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7% 26.8% 27.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • San Marcos de Arica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Marcos de Arica's form might have worsened.
  • Santiago Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Marcos de Arica than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santiago Wanderers than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
  • San Marcos de Arica - Santiago Wanderers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.28
    (2.01)
    3.15
    (3.35)
    3
    (3.37)
    8.9%
    (9.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for San Marcos de Arica - Santiago Wanderers?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Marcos de Arica won 0.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Santiago Wanderers may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • San Marcos de Arica might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, San Marcos de Arica won 0 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 11:22. (average 0.8:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, San Marcos de Arica won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 0.8:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between San Marcos de Arica - Santiago Wanderers were as follows:
    03.08.2025 Santiago Wanderers - San Marcos de Arica 1:0
    29.09.2024 Santiago Wanderers - San Marcos de Arica 2:0
    11.05.2024 San Marcos de Arica - Santiago Wanderers 0:0
    10.09.2023 San Marcos de Arica - Santiago Wanderers 1:2
    10.05.2023 Santiago Wanderers - San Marcos de Arica 1:1