Adelaide Adrenaline vs Brisbane Lightning: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Hockey Australian Ice Hockey League Adelaide Adrenaline - Brisbane Lightning
Result
2:4
06/07/2025 at 02:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : AIHL
Adelaide Adrenaline - Brisbane Lightning - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (2 - 1)
  • 07:35, 1 - 0, Adkins J. (G), Benson N. (A), Boyle Z. (A2)
  • 09:09, 1 - 1, Gendunov B. (G), Hopps T. (A), Wanat A. (A2)
  • 12:37, 2 - 1, Prevost C. (G), Chen D. (A), Foll R. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (0 - 1)
  • 19:01, 2 - 2, Hopps T. (G), Campbell A. (A),
  • 3rd Period (0 - 2)
  • 09:30, 2 - 3, Hopps T. (G), Campbell A. (A), Rippon M. (A2)
  • 19:48, 2 - 4, Rapchuk S. (G), Wanat A. (A), Campbell A. (A2)

Chances of winning


Adelaide Adrenaline
19.8%
Draw
15.9%
Brisbane Lightning
64.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.9% 13.8% 60.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.4% 13.5% 59.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Adelaide Adrenaline has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Adelaide Adrenaline's form might have worsened.
  • Brisbane Lightning has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adelaide Adrenaline than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Adelaide Adrenaline, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brisbane Lightning than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Brisbane Lightning, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Adelaide Adrenaline - Brisbane Lightning Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.61
    (3.58)
    5.73
    (6.7)
    1.42
    (1.54)
    9.4%
    (7.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 9.00
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Adelaide won 1.
    • In recent matches, Adelaide has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Brisbane is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Adelaide may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Brisbane is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Adelaide won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:38. (average 2.9:4.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Adelaide won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:18. (average 3.2:3.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Adelaide Adrenaline - Brisbane Lightning were as follows:
    05.07.2025 Adelaide Adrenaline - Brisbane Lightning 4:7
    04.08.2024 Brisbane Lightning - Adelaide Adrenaline 2:1
    03.08.2024 Brisbane Lightning - Adelaide Adrenaline 5:4
    21.07.2024 Adelaide Adrenaline - Brisbane Lightning 3:0
    20.07.2024 Adelaide Adrenaline - Brisbane Lightning 1:4
    Latest results of Brisbane Lightning
    Australian Ice Hockey League Table
    2025
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Melbourne Ice2116230139:6855
    2Brisbane Lightning18914485:8933
    3Perth18912693:7531
    4Melbourne Mustangs19820991:8128
    5CBR Brave17720888:8825
    6Newcastle18630987:8724
    7Adelaide184021258:10214
    8Central Coast Rhinos192221368:11912

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