Result
24:22
11/04/2026 at 00:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super Rugby - Round 9
- Referee: Murphy D. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Conversion goals |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Conversion goal attempts |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Penalty goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty goal attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 50 | 20 |
| Dropped goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped goal attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total runs |
|---|
| 101 | 112 |
| Metres run with ball |
|---|
| 588 | 523 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (19 - 7)
- 8', Waqa E. 🟨,
- 9', Epenisa M. (Try),
- 10', Donaldson B. (Conversion Goal),
- 20', Hetet H. (Try),
- 21', Armstrong-Ravula I. (Conversion Goal),
- 21', Daly J. ↓, Harris W. ↑,
- 29', Armstrong-Ravula I. (Try),
- 30', Armstrong-Ravula I. (Conversion Goal),
- 34', Rabitu I. (Try),
- 35', Armstrong-Ravula I. (Missed Conversion),
- 2nd Half (5 - 15)
- 41', Murray M. ↓, Salawa K. ↑,
- 41', Canakaivata E. ↓, Tuwai I. ↑,
- 46', Faagase S. ↓, Pearce M. ↑,
- 46', Paenga-Amosa B. ↓, Dolly N. ↑,
- 46', Epenisa M. ↓, Johnson-Holmes H. ↑,
- 46', Champion de Crespigny R. ↓, Faifua L. ↑,
- 47', Hetet H. ↓, Tuqiri E. ↑,
- 48', Pietsch D. (Try),
- 48', Donaldson B. (Missed Conversion),
- 52', Kuenzle B. ↓, Beale K. ↑,
- 58', Fines-Leleiwasa I. ↓, Kuruvoli S. ↑,
- 59', Williams J. (Try),
- 59', Donaldson B. (Missed Conversion),
- 60', Doge M. ↓, Tawake S. ↑,
- 60', Pietsch D. ↓, Lomax Z. ↑,
- 61', Rabitu I. ↓, Mataele M. ↑,
- 62', Basiyalo S. (Try),
- 62', Armstrong-Ravula I. (Missed Conversion),
- 64', Togiatama Z. ↓, Dolokoto M. ↑,
- 70', Droasese I. 🟨,
- 71', Harris W. (Try),
- 72', Beale K. (Missed Conversion),
- 73', Waqa E. ↓, Miramira V. ↑,
- 80', Donaldson B. (Missed Penalty),
Chances of winning
Fijian Drua
58.2% | Draw
4.1% | Western Force
37.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fijian Drua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Western Force has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fijian Drua than the current prediction. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Western Force than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Fijian Drua - Western Force Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.6 ↑
(1.57) |
23.17 ↑
(20.25) |
2.4 ↓
(2.5) |
8.8%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 54.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 10 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fijian Drua won 2.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Fijian Drua may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Western Force has had a series of away games.
- Fijian Drua will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- We predict that Fijian Drua will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Fijian Drua won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 174:240. (average 21.8:30).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fijian Drua won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 102:78. (average 25.5:19.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Fijian Drua won against Western Force?
Fijian Drua has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Western Force won against Fijian Drua?
Western Force has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fijian Drua - Western Force were as follows:
16.05.2025
Fijian Drua
-
Western Force
38:7
23.03.2025
Western Force
-
Fijian Drua
52:15
11.05.2024
Western Force
-
Fijian Drua
48:10
29.03.2024
Fijian Drua
-
Western Force
31:13
12.05.2023
Western Force
-
Fijian Drua
34:14
Latest results of Fijian Drua
Latest results of Western Force
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Crusaders (2) | Reds (5) | 32 : 12 |
| 2 | Chiefs (1) | Blues (6) | 19 : 20 |
| 3 | Chiefs (1) | Bye | |
| 4 | Brumbies (3) | Hurricanes (4) | 35 : 28 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Crusaders (2) | Blues (6) | 21 : 14 |
| 2 | Chiefs (1) | Brumbies (3) | 37 : 17 |
Final| 1 | Crusaders (2) | Chiefs (1) | 16 : 12 |
