Result
0:2
07/03/2026 at 11:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Thionville, hard - Semi-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 63% | 63% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 65% (26/40) | 74% (29/39) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 50% (12/24) | 52% (12/23) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 56% (5/9) | 88% (7/8) |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 31% (12/39) | 40% (16/40) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 48% (11/23) | 50% (12/24) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 13% (1/8) | 44% (4/9) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 9 | 21 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 26 | 32 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 50% (1/2) | 75% (6/8) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 56% (36/64) | 66% (41/62) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 34% (21/62) | 44% (28/64) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 45% (57/126) | 55% (69/126) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 56% (5/9) | 89% (8/9) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 11% (1/9) | 44% (4/9) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 33% (6/18) | 67% (12/18) |
Chances of winning
Hugo Gaston
52.8% | Sebastian Ofner
47.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hugo Gaston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)Sebastian Ofner has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hugo Gaston than the current prediction. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Ofner than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Hugo Gaston - Sebastian Ofner Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.77 ↑
(1.7) |
|
1.97 ↓
(2.02) |
7.3%
(8.3%) | |
What is the prediction for Hugo Gaston - Sebastian Ofner?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Gaston will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Ofner will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ofner: 25.1% – 83.9%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sebastian Ofner will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Gaston is ranked ATP: 96. Ofner is ranked ATP: 108.
- Gaston is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Ofner is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Ofner may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gaston won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Hugo Gaston won against Sebastian Ofner?
Hugo Gaston has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sebastian Ofner won against Hugo Gaston?
Sebastian Ofner has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hugo Gaston - Sebastian Ofner were as follows:
16.02.2026
Sebastian Ofner
-
Hugo Gaston
1:2
23.04.2025
Sebastian Ofner
-
Hugo Gaston
2:0
12.05.2023
Sebastian Ofner
-
Hugo Gaston
2:1
Latest results of Hugo Gaston
Latest results of Sebastian Ofner
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Gaston H. (1) | Glinka D. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Holmgren A. | Smith K. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Sels J. (LL) | Kouame M. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Engel J. | Zeppieri G. (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Ofner S. (4) | Loffhagen G. (Alt) | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Cassone M. (Q) | Broom C. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Rodionov J. | Grenier H. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Added D. (Alt) | Krumich M. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Blanchet U. (8) | Watanuki Y. (RET.) (Q) | 1 : 1 |
| 10 | Bertola R. (Alt) | Chidekh C. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Herbert P. | Bailly G. A. (Alt) | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Paris T. (WC) | Virtanen O. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 13 | Budkov Kjaer N. (6) | Molcan A. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Tabur C. (Alt) | Nishikori K. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Safiullin R. | Skatov T. | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Malige M. (WC) | Choinski J. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Gaston H. (1) | Smith K. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Kouame M. | Zeppieri G. (RET.) (5) | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Ofner S. (4) | Cassone M. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Rodionov J. | Krumich M. | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Blanchet U. (8) | Chidekh C. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Herbert P. | Virtanen O. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Budkov Kjaer N. (6) | Nishikori K. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Safiullin R. | Choinski J. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Gaston H. (1) | Kouame M. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Ofner S. (4) | Rodionov J. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Blanchet U. (8) | Virtanen O. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Budkov Kjaer N. (6) | Choinski J. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Gaston H. (1) | Ofner S. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Virtanen O. (3) | Budkov Kjaer N. (6) | 1 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Ofner S. (4) | Budkov Kjaer N. (6) | 2 : 1 |
