Result
3:4
06/07/2024 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- JAPAN: J1 League - Round 22
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Total Passes |
|---|
| 587 | 414 |
| Completed Passes |
|---|
| 523 | 332 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 12 | 22 |
| Attacks |
|---|
| 105 | 89 |
| Dangerous Attacks |
|---|
| 55 | 33 |
| Clearances Completed |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Crosses Completed |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 13', 0 - 1, Yamazaki K. ⚽, Kikuchi T. (A),
- 17', 1 - 1, Taniguchi K. ⚽, Komi Y. (A),
- 32', 1 - 2, Yokoyama A. ⚽, Kimura S. (A),
- 34', Fitzgerald M. 🟨,
- 43', Naganuma Y. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 46', Hino S. ↓, Horigome Y. ↑,
- 51', 1 - 3, Naganuma Y. ⚽,
- 52', 1 - 4, Yokoyama A. ⚽, Fukuta A. (A),
- 61', 2 - 4, Fitzgerald M. ⚽, Shimada Y. (A),
- 61', Matsuda E. ↓, Danilo Gomes ↑,
- 61', Taniguchi K. ↓, Ono Y. ↑,
- 61', Hasegawa M. ↓, Takagi Y. ↑,
- 61', Deng T. ↓, Inamura H. ↑,
- 65', Kikuchi T. ↓, Tezuka K. ↑,
- 67', Danilo Gomes 🟨,
- 79', Marcelo Ryan ↓, Kawahara S. ↑,
- 79', Yokoyama A. ↓, Nakahara H. ↑,
- 84', 3 - 4, Fujiwara S. ⚽, Ono Y. (A),
- 87', Fukuta A. ↓, Ueebisu K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Albirex Niigata
52.7% | Draw
24.4% | Sagan Tosu
22.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Albirex Niigata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)Sagan Tosu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sagan Tosu than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Albirex Niigata - Sagan Tosu Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.78 ↓
(1.83) |
3.85 ↑
(3.69) |
4.09 ↓
(4.14) |
6.5%
(6.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Albirex Niigata - Sagan Tosu?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Niigata will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Tosu will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Niigata: 23.1% – 88.1%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 14 and 17).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Niigata won 2.
- Niigata is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Recent matches Tosu is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Tosu could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Niigata is a favorite.
- Our prediction for today's Niigata to win the game is with odds 1.78.
- Last 17 head-to-head matches Niigata won 10 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 20-16.
- Including matches at home between the teams Niigata won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-4.
How many head-to-head matches has Albirex Niigata won against Sagan Tosu?
Albirex Niigata has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sagan Tosu won against Albirex Niigata?
Sagan Tosu has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Albirex Niigata - Sagan Tosu were as follows:
24.02.2024
Sagan Tosu
-
Albirex Niigata
1:2
21.10.2023
Albirex Niigata
-
Sagan Tosu
1:1
20.05.2023
Sagan Tosu
-
Albirex Niigata
2:0
Latest results of Albirex Niigata
Latest results of Sagan Tosu
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kyoto | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 53:31 | 22 | 55 |
| 2 | Kashima Antlers | 29 | 17 | 4 | 8 | 44:27 | 17 | 55 |
| 3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 29 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 42:28 | 14 | 54 |
| 4 | Vissel Kobe | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 37:26 | 11 | 54 |
| 5 | Machida | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 46:32 | 14 | 51 |
| 6 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 35:21 | 14 | 51 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 29 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 53:38 | 15 | 48 |
| 8 | Urawa Reds | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 39:31 | 8 | 47 |
| 9 | Gamba Osaka | 30 | 13 | 4 | 13 | 39:44 | -5 | 43 |
| 10 | Cerezo Osaka | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 46:41 | 5 | 42 |
| 11 | Okayama | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 26:29 | -3 | 39 |
| 12 | Avispa Fukuoka | 29 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 30:32 | -2 | 37 |
| 13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 32:36 | -4 | 36 |
| 14 | Nagoya Grampus | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 35:42 | -7 | 32 |
| 15 | Verdy | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 16:28 | -12 | 32 |
| 16 | FC Tokyo | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 30:42 | -12 | 31 |
| 17 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 26:38 | -12 | 25 |
| 18 | Shonan Bellmare | 29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 26:50 | -24 | 25 |
| 19 | Yokohama FC | 29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 19:36 | -17 | 24 |
| 20 | Albirex Niigata | 29 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 27:49 | -22 | 20 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League
