Albirex Niigata vs Sagan Tosu: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Japan J1 League Albirex Niigata - Sagan Tosu
Result
3:4
06/07/2024 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • JAPAN: J1 League - Round 22
Albirex Niigata - Sagan Tosu - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
59%41%
Goal Attempts
812
Shots on Goal
57
Shots off Goal
35
Free Kicks
910
Corner Kicks
56
Offsides
10
Goalkeeper Saves
32
Fouls
99
Yellow Cards
21
Total Passes
587414
Completed Passes
523332
Tackles
1222
Attacks
10589
Dangerous Attacks
5533
Clearances Completed
133
Crosses Completed
49

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 13', 0 - 1, Yamazaki K. , Kikuchi T. (A),
  • 17', 1 - 1, Taniguchi K. , Komi Y. (A),
  • 32', 1 - 2, Yokoyama A. , Kimura S. (A),
  • 34', Fitzgerald M. 🟨,
  • 43', Naganuma Y. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 46', Hino S. , Horigome Y. ,
  • 51', 1 - 3, Naganuma Y. ,
  • 52', 1 - 4, Yokoyama A. , Fukuta A. (A),
  • 61', 2 - 4, Fitzgerald M. , Shimada Y. (A),
  • 61', Matsuda E. , Danilo Gomes ,
  • 61', Taniguchi K. , Ono Y. ,
  • 61', Hasegawa M. , Takagi Y. ,
  • 61', Deng T. , Inamura H. ,
  • 65', Kikuchi T. , Tezuka K. ,
  • 67', Danilo Gomes 🟨,
  • 79', Marcelo Ryan , Kawahara S. ,
  • 79', Yokoyama A. , Nakahara H. ,
  • 84', 3 - 4, Fujiwara S. , Ono Y. (A),
  • 87', Fukuta A. , Ueebisu K. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Albirex Niigata
52.7%
Draw
24.4%
Sagan Tosu
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.6% 25.6% 22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9% 25% 22.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Albirex Niigata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • Sagan Tosu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sagan Tosu than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • Albirex Niigata - Sagan Tosu Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.78
    (1.83)
    3.85
    (3.69)
    4.09
    (4.14)
    6.5%
    (6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Albirex Niigata - Sagan Tosu?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Niigata will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Tosu will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Niigata: 23.1%88.1%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 14 and 17).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Niigata won 2.
    • Niigata is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Tosu is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Tosu could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Niigata is a favorite.
    • Our prediction for today's Niigata to win the game is with odds 1.78.
    • Last 17 head-to-head matches Niigata won 10 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 20-16.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Niigata won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-4.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Albirex Niigata - Sagan Tosu were as follows:
    24.02.2024 Sagan Tosu - Albirex Niigata 1:2
    21.10.2023 Albirex Niigata - Sagan Tosu 1:1
    20.05.2023 Sagan Tosu - Albirex Niigata 2:0
    Latest results of Albirex Niigata
    Latest results of Sagan Tosu
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashiwa Reysol23128331:201144
    2Vissel Kobe23134632:211143
    3Kyoto23125638:271141
    4Kashima Antlers23132833:221141
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima23123827:18939
    6Kawasaki Frontale23108537:241338
    7Machida23114833:25837
    8Urawa Reds2197526:20634
    9Cerezo Osaka2396834:30433
    10Gamba Osaka23941027:30-331
    11Okayama2386919:20-130
    12Avispa Fukuoka2286819:21-230
    13Nagoya Grampus2377928:30-228
    14Verdy2377915:23-828
    15Shimizu S-Pulse23761027:32-527
    16FC Tokyo23751124:32-826
    17Shonan Bellmare22651116:30-1423
    18Yokohama FC23541414:28-1419
    19Albirex Niigata23471224:39-1519
    20Yokohama F. Marinos23461320:32-1218

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

    Which TV channels are streaming of Albirex Niigata - Sagan Tosu?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    chinaChinaK-Ball
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