Result
1:1
24/02/2026 at 17:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 7
- Referee: Merlos A. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | ESPN Premium, HBO Max, TNT Sports |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 United-arab-emirates | Dubai Sports 1 |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.45 | 0.97 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (340/419) | 71% (214/302) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.45 | 0.97 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.19 | 0.70 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (340/419) | 71% (214/302) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (23/52) | 26% (17/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (84/124) | 61% (51/84) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (3/16) | 29% (7/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.37 | 0.85 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 28 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 48% (11/23) | 62% (16/26) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.70 | 0.19 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.30 | -0.81 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 29', Galvan J. ↓, Bravo A. ↑,
- 38', 0 - 1, Sosa D. ⚽, Mendez J. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Rodriguez G. ↓, Ladstatter A. ↑,
- 50', Sosa D. 🟨,
- 57', Tripichio N. ↓, Vietto L. ↑,
- 57', Perruzzi I. ↓, Abrego G. ↑,
- 60', Fonseca M. ↓, Jara F. ↑,
- 60', Cordoba Mosquera J. E. ↓, Rafaelli L. ↑,
- 70', Romana J. 🟨,
- 75', Mendez J. ↓, Gallardo M. ↑,
- 75', Sosa D. ↓, Acevedo J. ↑,
- 76', Gulli F. ↓, Herazo D. ↑,
- 81', Luna A. 🟨,
- 86', 1 - 1, Vietto L. ⚽,
- 88', Cardillo M. ↓, Rattalino J. ↑,
Chances of winning
San Lorenzo
39.3% | Draw
33.9% | Instituto Córdoba
26.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Lorenzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)Instituto Córdoba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Instituto Córdoba than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
San Lorenzo - Instituto Córdoba Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.35 ↑
(2.21) |
2.77 ↓
(2.81) |
3.54 ↓
(4.02) |
7%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for San Lorenzo - Instituto Córdoba?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - San Lorenzo (1.30) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
Users Predictions:
San Lorenzo will win
(10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): San Lorenzo will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. San Lorenzo (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Instituto (votes: 1 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Lorenzo won 4.
- San Lorenzo is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Instituto has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- San Lorenzo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- San Lorenzo might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in San Lorenzo: Arias N.
(Injury)
Cordoba A.
(Muscle Injury)
Herrera D.
(Knee Injury)
Insaurralde M.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Instituto: Jara F.
(Inactive)
Klimowicz L.
(Inactive)
Moyano F.
(Inactive)
Romero J.
(Injury)
Suarez F.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, San Lorenzo won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 1:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, San Lorenzo won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has San Lorenzo won against Instituto Córdoba?
San Lorenzo has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Instituto Córdoba won against San Lorenzo?
Instituto Córdoba has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between San Lorenzo - Instituto Córdoba were as follows:
23.08.2025
San Lorenzo
-
Instituto Córdoba
1:0
17.02.2025
Instituto Córdoba
-
San Lorenzo
0:1
05.10.2024
Instituto Córdoba
-
San Lorenzo
2:0
20.05.2023
San Lorenzo
-
Instituto Córdoba
2:0
Latest results of San Lorenzo
Latest results of Instituto Córdoba
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
AperturaGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Velez Sarsfield | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 18 |
| 2 | Estudiantes L.P | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 15 |
| 3 | Union de Santa Fe | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:5 | 6 | 14 |
| 4 | Independiente | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 13 |
| 5 | Platense | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 13 |
| 6 | San Lorenzo | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7:5 | 2 | 12 |
| 7 | Defensa y Justicia | 8 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 7:5 | 2 | 12 |
| 8 | Talleres Cordoba | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 11 |
| 9 | Boca Juniors | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 9 |
| 10 | Lanus | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9:9 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 | Instituto | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 | Central Cordoba | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3:6 | -3 | 8 |
| 13 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 8 |
| 14 | Dep. Riestra | 8 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 | Newells Old Boys | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5:16 | -11 | 2 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 12:8 | 4 | 17 |
| 2 | Tigre | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14:7 | 7 | 15 |
| 3 | Belgrano | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 10:7 | 3 | 15 |
| 4 | Rosario Central | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10:6 | 4 | 14 |
| 5 | Huracan | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:7 | 1 | 12 |
| 6 | Racing Club | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11:9 | 2 | 11 |
| 7 | River Plate | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 11 |
| 8 | Gimnasia L.P | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 11 |
| 9 | Banfield | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:9 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 | Argentinos Jrs | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 9 |
| 11 | Barracas Central | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 9 |
| 12 | Sarmiento Junin | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 6:9 | -3 | 9 |
| 13 | Atl. Tucuman | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 5 |
| 14 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3:12 | -9 | 4 |
| 15 | Aldosivi | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2:8 | -6 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
