Alex Bolt vs Sho Shimabukuro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

16/03/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Miami - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Chances of winning


Alex Bolt
34%
Sho Shimabukuro
66%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36% 64%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7% 60.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alex Bolt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • Sho Shimabukuro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Bolt than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alex Bolt, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sho Shimabukuro than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sho Shimabukuro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Alex Bolt - Sho Shimabukuro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.77
    (2.58)

    1.43
    (1.45)
    6%
    (7.7%)
    What is the prediction for Alex Bolt - Sho Shimabukuro?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Bolt will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Shimabukuro will win (votes: 11 - 84.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Shimabukuro: 65%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sho Shimabukuro will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Bolt is ranked ATP: 167. Shimabukuro is ranked ATP: 113.
    • Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Bolt may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Shimabukuro might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Bolt won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alex Bolt - Sho Shimabukuro were as follows:
    29.04.2025 Alex Bolt - Sho Shimabukuro 1:2
    14.05.2023 Sho Shimabukuro - Alex Bolt 2:0
    Latest results of Alex Bolt
    Latest results of Sho Shimabukuro
    Draw
    2026

    Semi-finals
    1Buse I. (1)Echargui M.
    2Pinnington Jones J.Wong C. (21)
    3Hanfmann Y. (2)Riedi L.
    4Willwerth B. (WC)van Assche L. (13)0 : 2
    5Tirante T. A. (3)Dedura D. (WC)
    6Landaluce M.McDonald M. (22)
    7Vukic A. (4)Harris B.
    8Basavareddy N.Barrios Vera T. (18)
    9Garin C. (5)Draxl L.
    10Clarke J.Mochizuki S. (24)
    11Walton A. (6)Rodesch C.
    12Sweeny D.Hijikata R. (19)
    13Bellucci M. (7)Jarry N.
    14Watanuki Y.Maestrelli F. (17)
    15Kypson P. (8)Basilashvili N.
    16Bolt A.Shimabukuro S. (16)
    17Blockx A. (9)Tseng C. H.
    18Mejia N.O'Connell C. (23)
    19Burruchaga R. A. (10)Fery A.1 : 2
    20Bu Y.Schoolkate T. (20)2 : 0
    21Svajda Z. (11)Smith C.
    22Merida Aguilar D.Svrcina D. (14)
    23Jodar R. (12)Dhamne M. (WC)
    24Miguel G. (WC)Bonzi B. (15)

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3van Assche L. (13)
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16
    9TBD #17TBD #18
    10Fery A.Bu Y.
    11TBD #21TBD #22
    12TBD #23TBD #24