Result
2:4
05/10/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 13
- Referee: Ureta D. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 0.96 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (257/328) | 74% (181/246) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 0.96 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 2.26 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (257/328) | 74% (181/246) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (38/70) | 38% (22/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (44/69) | 57% (39/68) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (6/26) | 19% (3/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.40 | 0.80 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 47% (7/15) | 69% (11/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.26 | 1.24 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.74 | -0.76 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 20', 0 - 1, Beltran C. (Own goal),
- 24', 0 - 2, Fernandez S. ⚽,
- 30', Villegas J. C. 🟨,
- 43', Melian D. 🟨,
- 45+1', Castro R. 🟨,
- 45+4', Lojas J. 🟨,
- 45+4', Nunez O. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 53', 0 - 3, Graneros A. ⚽, Olmedo L. (A),
- 57', Naya E. 🟨,
- 57', Olmedo L. ↓, Lupu H. ↑,
- 58', Larios Saavedra G. A. ↓, Perez J. ↑,
- 58', Lojas J. ↓, Garrafa Tapia I. A. ↑,
- 58', Paucar E. ↓, Sinisterra J. ↑,
- 64', 0 - 4, Graneros A. ⚽, Fernandez S. (A),
- 66', Vasquez C. ↓, Gordillo A. ↑,
- 72', Erustes P. 🟨,
- 74', Nunez O. ↓, Moreno X. ↑,
- 74', Bazan J. ↓, Gallardo J. ↑,
- 76', 1 - 4, Erustes P. ⚽, Sinisterra J. (A),
- 78', Fernandez S. ↓, Illanes F. ↑,
- 78', Graneros A. ↓, Diaz R. ↑,
- 81', Canales E. 🟨,
- 90+2', 2 - 4, Erustes P. ⚽, Canales E. (A),
Chances of winning
Deportivo Garcilaso
56.1% | Draw
27.6% | Alianza Atlético
16.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Garcilaso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)Alianza Atlético has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Garcilaso than the current prediction. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Atlético than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
Deportivo Garcilaso - Alianza Atlético Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.66 ↓
(1.68) |
3.41 ↓
(3.65) |
5.63 ↑
(4.4) |
7.2%
(9.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Deportivo Garcilaso has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Alianza Atlético's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Alianza Atlético may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Deportivo Garcilaso is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Deportivo Garcilaso: Gomez N.
(Yellow Cards)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Garcilaso won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 0.6:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Garcilaso won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Garcilaso won against Alianza Atlético?
Deportivo Garcilaso has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Atlético won against Deportivo Garcilaso?
Alianza Atlético has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Garcilaso - Alianza Atlético were as follows:
16.05.2025
Alianza Atlético
-
Deportivo Garcilaso
1:0
10.08.2024
Deportivo Garcilaso
-
Alianza Atlético
0:1
29.02.2024
Alianza Atlético
-
Deportivo Garcilaso
3:0
01.10.2023
Alianza Atlético
-
Deportivo Garcilaso
2:0
20.05.2023
Deportivo Garcilaso
-
Alianza Atlético
3:2
Latest results of Deportivo Garcilaso
Latest results of Alianza Atlético
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | U. de Deportes | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 23:8 | 15 | 30 |
| 2 | Cusco | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 18:10 | 8 | 22 |
| 3 | AD Tarma | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 15:15 | 0 | 20 |
| 4 | Sporting Cristal | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 20:8 | 12 | 19 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 18:13 | 5 | 18 |
| 6 | Alianza Lima | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18:14 | 4 | 18 |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 16:16 | 0 | 18 |
| 8 | Sport Huancayo | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 23:22 | 1 | 15 |
| 9 | Cienciano | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 16:15 | 1 | 15 |
| 10 | Grau | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 16:15 | 1 | 15 |
| 11 | Comerciantes Unidos | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13:16 | -3 | 15 |
| 12 | Los Chankas | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 14:23 | -9 | 15 |
| 13 | Alianza Atl | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10:8 | 2 | 13 |
| 14 | Alianza Huanuco | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14:24 | -10 | 13 |
| 15 | Sport Boys | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10:16 | -6 | 12 |
| 16 | Juan Pablo II | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 11 |
| 17 | Ayacucho | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 8:17 | -9 | 10 |
| 18 | Cajamarca | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9:16 | -7 | 6 |
| 19 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
