Result
4:1
02/07/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Chile - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
- Referee: Philippe G. (Chi)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.63 | 1.31 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 66% | 34% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 31 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (468/522) | 68% (195/285) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.63 | 1.31 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.51 | 1.23 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 31 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 23 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 52 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (468/522) | 68% (195/285) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 71% (15/21) | 39% (21/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 81% (156/192) | 54% (32/59) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (14/28) | 0% (0/3) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.96 | 0.56 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 76% (19/25) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.23 | 3.51 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.23 | -0.49 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 8', 1 - 0, Jara Gonzalez G. A. ⚽, Pinto M. (A),
- 23', 2 - 0, Chamorro F. ⚽, Jara Gonzalez G. A. (A),
- 33', Osorio R. 🟥,
- 37', Juarez F. ↓, Sarria G. ↑,
- 41', Cabrera Figueroa L. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Flores F. ↓, Araya J. ↑,
- 46', Pastenes F. ↓, Carreno M. ↑,
- 46', Larrain M. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
- 59', Ovando L. ↓, Gallegos S. ↑,
- 63', 3 - 0, Rojas J. ⚽, Gallegos S. (A),
- 69', 4 - 0, Gutierrez C. ⚽, Gallegos S. (A),
- 72', Pinto M. ↓, Zanini A. ↑,
- 72', Gutierrez C. ↓, Rivera M. ↑,
- 75', Zanini A. 🟨,
- 79', 4 - 1, Araya J. (Pen),
- 84', Navarrete J. ↓, Aguila Bastias Y. M. ↑,
- 90+1', Rojas J. ↓, Villarroel M. ↑,
- 90+1', Moreira E. ↓, Cordero D. ↑,
- 90+4', Sanhueza Mora E. A. 🟨,
- 90+6', Gallegos S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Deportes La Serena
56.4% | Draw
24.8% | San Luis de Quillota
18.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes La Serena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)San Luis de Quillota has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes La Serena than the current prediction. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Luis de Quillota than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Deportes La Serena - San Luis de Quillota Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.64 ↓
(1.74) |
3.74 ↑
(3.62) |
4.83 ↑
(4.44) |
8.4%
(7.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Deportes La Serena - San Luis de Quillota?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Deportes La Serena will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). San Luis will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Deportes La Serena: 50.9% – 95.7%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Deportes La Serena (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 1-3. 2nd leg.
- The current form of both teams is below expectations.
- In this match, Deportes La Serena is considered a favorite.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportes La Serena won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 1.2:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Deportes La Serena won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportes La Serena won against San Luis de Quillota?
Deportes La Serena has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has San Luis de Quillota won against Deportes La Serena?
San Luis de Quillota has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportes La Serena - San Luis de Quillota were as follows:
06.06.2025
San Luis de Quillota
-
Deportes La Serena
3:1
25.08.2024
Deportes La Serena
-
San Luis de Quillota
2:0
14.04.2024
San Luis de Quillota
-
Deportes La Serena
0:1
01.10.2023
San Luis de Quillota
-
Deportes La Serena
5:0
20.05.2023
Deportes La Serena
-
San Luis de Quillota
2:2
Latest results of Deportes La Serena
Latest results of San Luis de Quillota
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Limache | Cobreloa | 3 : 0, 3 : 1 |
| 2 | Union La Calera | Coquimbo | 1 : 4, 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Antofagasta | S. Wanderers | 2 : 3, 0 : 3 |
| 4 | La Serena | San Luis | 4 : 1, 1 : 3 |
| 5 | U. De Chile | Curico Unido | 2 : 2, 1 : 2 |
| 6 | A. Italiano | Deportes Temuco | 2 : 0, 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Nublense | Magallanes | 2 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 8 | Huachipato | D. Concepcion | 2 : 0, 1 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Limache | Coquimbo | 3 : 2, 2 : 1 |
| 2 | S. Wanderers | La Serena | 1 : 5, 2 : 4 |
| 3 | Curico Unido | A. Italiano | 0 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 4 | Nublense | Huachipato | 1 : 2, 2 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Limache | La Serena | |
| 2 | A. Italiano | Huachipato | |
