Result
1:1
22/03/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga FUTVE - Apertura - Round 9
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 1.63 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 36% | 64% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (253/332) | 85% (504/592) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 1.63 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 2.04 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 3 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (253/332) | 85% (504/592) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (22/62) | 53% (21/40) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (44/73) | 72% (121/168) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (2/10) | 9% (2/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.48 | 1.29 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 13 | 32 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (18/24) | 62% (8/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 40 | 5 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.04 | 0.98 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.04 | -0.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 12', Basante F. 🟨,
- 28', Sulbaran Y. 🟨,
- 42', 1 - 0, Farias E. ⚽, Sulbaran Y. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 51', Correa W. 🟨,
- 53', Basante F. ↓, Herrera S. ↑,
- 56', Figueroa A. ↓, Uribe J. ↑,
- 56', Vegas C. ↓, Marquez M. ↑,
- 58', Caraballo J. ↓, Castillo D. ↑,
- 59', Sulbaran Y. ↓, Paz J. ↑,
- 65', Correa W. ↓, Vegas M. ↑,
- 65', Reinoso L. ↓, Gonzalez S. ↑,
- 72', Farias E. ↓, Gonzalez F. ↑,
- 72', Jaramillo F. ↓, Natera S. ↑,
- 75', Quintero J. 🟨,
- 76', Herrera A. ↓, Lezama R. ↑,
- 88', Uribe J. 🟨,
- 90+6', 1 - 1, Gonzalez S. ⚽, Lezama R. (A),
- 90+7', Gonzalez S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Monagas
40.2% | Draw
27.8% | Caracas
32% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Monagas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)Caracas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Caracas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monagas than the current prediction. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caracas than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Caracas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Monagas - Caracas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.28 ↓
(2.58) |
3.29 ↓
(3.49) |
2.86 ↑
(2.52) |
9.3%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Monagas - Caracas?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Caracas will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Monagas (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 12 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monagas won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Caracas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Monagas won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 22:34. (average 1.1:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Monagas won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:18. (average 1.1:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Monagas won against Caracas?
Monagas has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Caracas won against Monagas?
Caracas has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Monagas - Caracas were as follows:
28.09.2025
Monagas
-
Caracas
2:2
18.04.2025
Caracas
-
Monagas
1:4
20.09.2024
Caracas
-
Monagas
1:2
24.03.2024
Monagas
-
Caracas
1:1
28.01.2024
Monagas
-
Caracas
2:3
Latest results of Monagas
Latest results of Caracas
Venezuelan Primera Division Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Universidad Central | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 18:10 | 8 | 19 |
| 2 | La Guaira | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 10:3 | 7 | 19 |
| 3 | Metropolitanos | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 14:9 | 5 | 18 |
| 4 | Dep. Tachira | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 10:6 | 4 | 17 |
| 5 | Puerto Cabello | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 13 |
| 6 | Portuguesa | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13:10 | 3 | 13 |
| 7 | Carabobo | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 11:6 | 5 | 12 |
| 8 | Estudiantes Merida | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14:13 | 1 | 11 |
| 9 | Zamora | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 | Rayo Zuliano | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:16 | -7 | 11 |
| 11 | Caracas | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 8 |
| 12 | Monagas | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7:16 | -9 | 7 |
| 13 | Anzoategui FC | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6:14 | -8 | 5 |
| 14 | Trujillanos | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 7:17 | -10 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )
