Greater Western Sydney Giants vs Geelong Cats: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Aussie rules AFL Greater Western Sydney Giants - Geelong Cats
12/07/2025 at 02:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Greater Western Sydney Giants - Geelong Cats - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Greater Western Sydney Giants
45.1%
Geelong Cats
54.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.6% 55.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9% 49.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Greater Western Sydney Giants has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • Geelong Cats has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Greater Western Sydney Giants than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Greater Western Sydney Giants, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Geelong Cats than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Geelong Cats, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Greater Western Sydney Giants - Geelong Cats Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.08
    (2.14)

    1.7
    (1.72)
    7.1%
    (4.9%)
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, GWS won 3.
    • Now, both teams are in good form.
    • Geelong may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • We predict that GWS will win today's game, with odds of 2.09.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, GWS won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 1198:1411. (average 74.9:88.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, GWS won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 524:625. (average 74.9:89.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Greater Western Sydney Giants - Geelong Cats were as follows:
    11.05.2025 Geelong Cats - Greater Western Sydney Giants 101:105
    25.05.2024 Geelong Cats - Greater Western Sydney Giants 74:78
    27.05.2023 Geelong Cats - Greater Western Sydney Giants 74:81
    Latest results of Geelong Cats
    AFL Table
    2025
    PlWDL%%Pts
    1Collingwood Magpies1614021508:1085138.9956
    2Brisbane Lions1611141436:1252114.7046
    3Geelong Cats1611051601:1210132.3144
    4Hawthorn Hawks1611051441:1212118.8944
    5Adelaide Crows1510051479:1058139.7940
    6Western Bulldogs1610061716:1288133.2340
    7Gold Coast Suns1510051432:1169122.5040
    8GWS Giants1610061405:1255111.9540
    9Fremantle Dockers1510051271:1151110.4340
    10Port Adelaide Power167091248:142587.5828
    11Carlton Blues1660101245:129696.0624
    12Sydney Swans156091171:127192.1324
    13Essendon Bombers156091084:141976.3924
    14Melbourne Demons1550101176:135686.7320
    15St Kilda Saints1650111270:148285.7020
    16North Melbourne1641111237:160177.2618
    17Richmond Tigers1630131015:161063.0412
    18West Coast Eagles1610151055:165063.944

          Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )

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