Result
5:2
07/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- NWSL Women
- Referee: Verso M. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video, TSN+ |
 Mexico | Azteca Deportes |
 Usa | NSWL+, NWSL+ app, Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.00 | 1.70 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (298/372) | 81% (279/346) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.00 | 1.70 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 4.04 | 2.32 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 31 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (298/372) | 81% (279/346) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (17/39) | 57% (23/40) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (49/84) | 70% (83/118) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (2/8) | 46% (12/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.49 | 2.00 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 41% (7/17) | 75% (15/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.32 | 4.04 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.32 | -0.96 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (5 - 2)
- 46', Hernandez O. ↓, Doyle J. ↑,
- 46', Charley S. ↓, Ovalle L. ↑,
- 48', Rafaelle Souza 🟨,
- 50', 1 - 0, Staab S. ⚽,
- 53', 1 - 1, Pickett C. ⚽, McCutcheon H. (A),
- 54', 2 - 1, Joseph J. ⚽, Grosso J. (A),
- 65', 3 - 1, Franklin B. ⚽, Ludmila (A),
- 69', 4 - 1, Grosso J. ⚽,
- 70', Lemos A. ↓, Watt A. ↑,
- 72', 4 - 2, McCutcheon H. ⚽, Doyle J. (A),
- 75', Lopez Millan M. ↓, Gomes N. ↑,
- 76', Pickett C. ↓, Luana Bertolucci ↑,
- 76', Marta ↓, Yates S. ↑,
- 81', Franklin B. 🟨,
- 85', Joseph J. 🟨,
- 88', Joseph J. ↓, Nesbeth L. ↑,
- 89', 5 - 2, Ludmila ⚽, Gomes N. (A),
- 90+1', Grosso J. ↓, Hayashi M. ↑,
- 90+2', Ludmila ↓, Johnson M. ↑,
- 90+4', Nesbeth L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Chicago Stars
23.4% | Draw
25.1% | Orlando Pride
51.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chicago Stars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)Orlando Pride has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chicago Stars than the current prediction. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orlando Pride than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Chicago Stars - Orlando Pride Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.9 ↑
(3.64) |
3.63 ↓
(4.39) |
1.77 ↑
(1.68) |
9.7%
(9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 13 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chicago won 0.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Orlando Pride may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Orlando Pride is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Chicago won 10 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 24:35. (average 1.2:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Chicago won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 0.9:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Chicago Stars won against Orlando Pride?
Chicago Stars has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Orlando Pride won against Chicago Stars?
Orlando Pride has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chicago Stars - Orlando Pride were as follows:
14.03.2025
Orlando Pride
-
Chicago Stars
6:0
08.11.2024
Orlando Pride
-
Chicago Stars
4:1
08.09.2024
Chicago Stars
-
Orlando Pride
0:1
29.03.2024
Orlando Pride
-
Chicago Stars
1:1
20.08.2023
Orlando Pride
-
Chicago Stars
5:0
Latest results of Chicago Stars
Latest results of Orlando Pride
NWSL Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kansas City Current W ✔ | 23 | 19 | 2 | 2 | 45:11 | 34 | 59 |
| 2 | Washington Spirit W | 23 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 39:28 | 11 | 43 |
| 3 | Orlando Pride W | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 29:24 | 5 | 36 |
| 4 | Gotham W | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 31:18 | 13 | 35 |
| 5 | Seattle Reign W | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 29:27 | 2 | 35 |
| 6 | Portland Thorns W | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 32:29 | 3 | 34 |
| 7 | Racing Louisville W | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 32:36 | -4 | 33 |
| 8 | San Diego Wave W | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 31:29 | 2 | 31 |
| 9 | North Carolina Courage W | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 29:35 | -6 | 28 |
| 10 | Houston Dash W | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 26:35 | -9 | 27 |
| 11 | Angel City W | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 28:37 | -9 | 24 |
| 12 | Utah Royals W | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 24:37 | -13 | 22 |
| 13 | Bay FC W | 24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 25:36 | -11 | 20 |
| 14 | Chicago W | 24 | 2 | 11 | 11 | 29:47 | -18 | 17 |
Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Kansas City Current W is Qualified for NWSL Women (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
