Vancouver FC vs Valour – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Canadian Premier League Vancouver FC - Valour
Result
2:5
05/09/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Canadian Premier League
  • Referee: Boumsied Y. (Can)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadaOneSoccer
usaUsaFox Soccer Plus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.132.33
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
1316
Shots on target
67
Big Chances
45
Corner Kicks
73
Passes
75% (273/364)83% (364/438)
Yellow Cards
20
Expected Goals (xG)
1.132.33
xG on target (xGOT)
1.182.37
Total shots
1316
Shots on target
67
Shots off target
55
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
109
Shots outside the Box
37
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
45
Corner Kicks
73
Touches in opposition box
2830
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1010
Passes
75% (273/364)83% (364/438)
Long passes
51% (29/57)53% (31/59)
Passes in final third
50% (52/104)70% (87/124)
Crosses
35% (7/20)18% (3/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.951.07
Throw-ins
1618
Fouls
1011
Tackles
76% (13/17)80% (12/15)
Duels won
4949
Clearances
2336
Interceptions
1010
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
11
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
2.371.18
Goals prevented
-2.63-0.82

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 1', 1 - 0, Campbell T. , Mbongue H. (A),
  • 16', 1 - 1, Morgan M. , Froese K. (A),
  • 44', 1 - 2, Morgan M. , Froese K. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 47', 1 - 3, Faria J. , Froese K. (A),
  • 61', 1 - 4, Morgan M. , Ressurreicao D. (A),
  • 62', Campbell T. , Herdman J. ,
  • 65', 2 - 4, Mbongue H. , Herdman J. (A),
  • 69', Ressurreicao D. , Figueiredo B. ,
  • 69', Froese K. , Venancio X. ,
  • 69', Norman D. 🟨,
  • 76', Michel , Ouattara A. ,
  • 77', Mezquida N. , Pathe N. ,
  • 80', Faria J. , Antonoglou T. ,
  • 80', Morgan M. , Pop E. ,
  • 85', Pathe N. 🟨,
  • 90', Twardek K. , van Hattum O. ,
  • 90+5', 2 - 5, Figueiredo B. , Antonoglou T. (A),

Chances of winning


Vancouver FC
47%
Draw
26.3%
Valour
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.9% 26.5% 34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5% 26.1% 34.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vancouver FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vancouver FC's performance.
  • Valour has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Valour might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vancouver FC than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vancouver FC that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valour than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Valour could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Vancouver FC - Valour Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.01
    (2.35)
    3.6
    (3.45)
    3.54
    (2.64)
    5.7%
    (9.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vancouver FC won 2.
    • Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Vancouver FC won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 1.2:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Vancouver FC won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vancouver FC - Valour were as follows:
    25.07.2025 Vancouver FC - Valour 1:3
    04.06.2025 Valour - Vancouver FC 3:1
    03.05.2025 Valour - Vancouver FC 1:3
    13.10.2024 Vancouver FC - Valour 1:1
    25.08.2024 Valour - Vancouver FC 1:2
    Latest results of Vancouver FC
    Latest results of Valour
    31.08.2025 Valour - Pacific FC 1:1
    22.08.2025 HFX Wanderers - Valour 4:1
    17.08.2025 Valour - York United 0:0
    10.08.2025 Valour - Atlético Ottawa 1:2
    02.08.2025 Forge - Valour 5:0
    Canadian Premier League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Forge23147241:192249
    2Atl. Ottawa23138246:242247
    3Cavalry23106738:271136
    4York Utd2396838:30833
    5HFX Wanderers2395933:29432
    6Valour23641328:51-2322
    7Pacific FC23561224:43-1921
    8Vancouver FC23261527:52-2512

          Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
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