Result
1:1
19/05/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 13
- Referee: Guerrero G. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Teleamazonas, Zapping |
Peru | Zapping Sports |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.87 | 0.77 |
Ball Possession |
---|
58% | 42% |
Total shots |
---|
15 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 14 |
Passes |
---|
87% (392/451) | 80% (253/315) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.87 | 0.77 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.85 | 0.13 |
Total shots |
---|
15 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 1 |
Shots off target |
---|
5 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
5 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
4 | 4 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
11 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 14 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
20 | 26 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
---|
10 | 8 |
Passes |
---|
87% (392/451) | 80% (253/315) |
Long passes |
---|
61% (27/44) | 53% (31/58) |
Passes in final third |
---|
74% (84/114) | 71% (79/111) |
Crosses |
---|
21% (4/19) | 19% (6/32) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.75 | 0.83 |
Throw-ins |
---|
12 | 18 |
Fouls |
---|
8 | 10 |
Tackles |
---|
88% (15/17) | 67% (14/21) |
Duels won |
---|
50 | 41 |
Clearances |
---|
23 | 21 |
Interceptions |
---|
14 | 10 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
0 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.13 | 0.85 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.87 | -0.15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 36', Bolanos D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Ayovi W. ↓, Quinonez Y. ↑,
- 46', Cornejo F. ↓, Alzugaray L. ↑,
- 46', Pastran L. ↓, Estrada M. ↑,
- 49', 1 - 0, Ramirez Leon B. J. ⚽, Gruezo C. (A),
- 57', Alvarado A. 🟨,
- 59', Verges J. ↓, Avila D. ↑,
- 59', Caicedo N. ↓, Quinonez A. ↑,
- 62', 1 - 1, Quinonez A. ⚽, Zambrano I. (A),
- 64', Montano J. 🟨,
- 70', Mina R. ↓, Allala Menendez G. F. ↑,
- 70', Gruezo C. ↓, Minda K. ↑,
- 70', Alvarado A. ↓, Villamil G. ↑,
- 80', Montano J. ↓, Humanante J. ↑,
- 90+7', Quinonez Y. 🟨,
Chances of winning
LDU Quito 66.6% | Draw 20.5% | Libertad Loja 12.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
LDU Quito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Libertad Loja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for LDU Quito than the current prediction. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Libertad Loja than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
LDU Quito - Libertad Loja Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.39 (1.39) |
4.55 ↓ (4.76) |
7.15 ↑ (7.12) |
7.9% (7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for LDU Quito - Libertad Loja?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. LDU Quito will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Libertad will win (votes: 1 - 25%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. LDU Quito (votes: 1 - 50%). Libertad (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- LDU Quito may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, LDU Quito has had a series of away games.
- In this match, LDU Quito is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, LDU Quito won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:4. (average 3:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, LDU Quito won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 3.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has LDU Quito won against Libertad Loja?
LDU Quito has won 4 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Libertad Loja won against LDU Quito?
Libertad Loja has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between LDU Quito - Libertad Loja were as follows:
25.08.2024
LDU Quito
-
Libertad Loja
3:0
30.04.2024
Libertad Loja
-
LDU Quito
2:3
12.11.2023
Libertad Loja
-
LDU Quito
0:2
02.06.2023
LDU Quito
-
Libertad Loja
4:2
Latest results of LDU Quito
Latest results of Libertad Loja
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Ind. del Valle | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 39:19 | 20 | 43 |
2 | Barcelona SC | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 33:25 | 8 | 38 |
3 | LDU Quito | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 37:21 | 16 | 37 |
4 | Dep. Cuenca | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 26:20 | 6 | 34 |
5 | Orense | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 24:24 | 0 | 34 |
6 | Libertad | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 31:26 | 5 | 33 |
7 | Aucas | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 28:26 | 2 | 32 |
8 | U. Catolica | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 34:28 | 6 | 28 |
9 | Delfin | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 20:29 | -9 | 26 |
10 | Emelec | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 16:24 | -8 | 25 |
11 | EL Nacional | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 24:30 | -6 | 24 |
12 | Vinotinto | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 26:29 | -3 | 23 |
13 | Manta | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 27:34 | -7 | 23 |
14 | Macara | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 19:21 | -2 | 22 |
15 | Mushuc Runa | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 24:38 | -14 | 17 |
16 | Tecnico U | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19:33 | -14 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )