Matteo Arnaldi vs Denis Shapovalov – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
24/03/2024 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: MIAMI (USA), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Match Stats

Aces
55
Double Faults
20
1st Serve Percentage
60%61%
1st Serve Points Won
73% (32/44)78% (29/37)
2nd Serve Points Won
62% (18/29)50% (12/24)
Break Points Saved
75% (3/4)0% (0/2)
1st Return Points Won
24% (9/37)27% (12/44)
2nd Return Points Won
50% (12/24)38% (11/29)
Break Points Converted
100% (2/2)25% (1/4)
Winners
2119
Unforced Errors
113
Net Points Won
69% (9/13)61% (20/33)
Max Points In Row
611
Service Points Won
68% (50/73)68% (40/59)
Return Points Won
32% (19/59)32% (23/73)
Total Points Won
52% (69/132)48% (63/132)
Max Games In Row
33
Service Games Won
91% (10/11)80% (8/10)
Return Games Won
20% (2/10)9% (1/11)
Total Games Won
57% (12/21)43% (9/21)

Chances of winning


Matteo Arnaldi
45.3%
Denis Shapovalov
54.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.9% 52.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5% 53.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Matteo Arnaldi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • Denis Shapovalov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Denis Shapovalov than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • Matteo Arnaldi - Denis Shapovalov Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.13
    (2.01)

    1.74
    (1.85)
    4.2%
    (3.8%)
    What is the prediction for Matteo Arnaldi - Denis Shapovalov?
  • Users Predictions: 48 users predict this event. Arnaldi will win (votes: 14 - 29.2%). Shapovalov will win (votes: 34 - 70.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Shapovalov: 57.9%83.7%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Both players are now playing unstable.
    • The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Arnaldi won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Matteo Arnaldi - Denis Shapovalov were as follows:
    31.05.2023 Matteo Arnaldi - Denis Shapovalov 1:3
    Latest results of Matteo Arnaldi
    Latest results of Denis Shapovalov
    Draw
    Singles - Qualification

    Semi-finals
    1Buse I. (1)Echargui M.2 : 1
    2Pinnington Jones J.Wong C. (21)1 : 2
    3Hanfmann Y. (2)Riedi L.2 : 0
    4Willwerth B. (WC)van Assche L. (13)0 : 2
    5Tirante T. A. (3)Dedura D. (WC)2 : 0
    6Landaluce M.McDonald M. (22)2 : 0
    7Vukic A. (4)Harris B.2 : 0
    8Basavareddy N.Barrios Vera T. (18)0 : 2
    9Garin C. (5)Draxl L.1 : 2
    10Clarke J.Mochizuki S. (24)2 : 1
    11Walton A. (6)Rodesch C.2 : 0
    12Sweeny D.Hijikata R. (19)0 : 2
    13Bellucci M. (7)Jarry N.2 : 0
    14Cassone M. (Alt)Maestrelli F. (17)2 : 0
    15Kypson P. (8)Basilashvili N.0 : 2
    16Bolt A.Shimabukuro S. (16)1 : 2
    17Blockx A. (9)Tseng C. H.2 : 0
    18Mejia N.O'Connell C. (23)0 : 2
    19Burruchaga R. A. (10)Fery A.1 : 2
    20Bu Y.Schoolkate T. (20)2 : 0
    21Svajda Z. (11)Smith C.2 : 1
    22Merida Aguilar D.Svrcina D. (14)2 : 1
    23Jodar R. (12)Dhamne M. (WC)2 : 0
    24Miguel G. (WC)Bonzi B. (15)0 : 2

    Final
    1Buse I. (1)Wong C. (21)2 : 1
    2Hanfmann Y. (2)van Assche L. (13)2 : 1
    3Tirante T. A. (3)Landaluce M.1 : 2
    4Vukic A. (4)Barrios Vera T. (18)0 : 2
    5Draxl L.Clarke J.2 : 1
    6Walton A. (6)Hijikata R. (19)2 : 1
    7Bellucci M. (7)Cassone M.2 : 1
    8Basilashvili N.Shimabukuro S. (16)2 : 0
    9Blockx A. (9)O'Connell C. (23)1 : 2
    10Fery A.Bu Y.2 : 1
    11Svajda Z. (11)Merida Aguilar D.2 : 1
    12Jodar R. (12)Bonzi B. (15)2 : 0