Result
1:0
20/09/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Jia League - Round 23
- Where to Watch on TV:
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China | Migu, ZhiBo8 |
Match Stats
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| Expected Goals (xG) |
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| 1.66 | 0.35 |
| Ball Possession |
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| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
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| 13 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
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| 5 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
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| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
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| 8 | 5 |
| Passes |
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| 72% (197/274) | 74% (227/305) |
| Yellow Cards |
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| 4 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
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| 1.66 | 0.35 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 1.25 | 0.52 |
| Total shots |
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| 13 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
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| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
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| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
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| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
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| 9 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
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| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
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| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
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| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
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| 8 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 19 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
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| 3 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
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| 10 | 20 |
| Passes |
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| 72% (197/274) | 74% (227/305) |
| Long passes |
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| 42% (27/64) | 42% (23/55) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 53% (55/103) | 47% (37/78) |
| Crosses |
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| 35% (8/23) | 20% (3/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
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| 1.13 | 0.23 |
| Throw-ins |
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| 24 | 18 |
| Fouls |
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| 20 | 10 |
| Tackles |
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| 78% (7/9) | 92% (12/13) |
| Duels won |
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| 32 | 53 |
| Clearances |
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| 14 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
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| 9 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
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| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 0.52 | 1.25 |
| Goals prevented |
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| 0.52 | 0.25 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 3', 1 - 0, Bao Shimeng ⚽,
- 32', Bao Shimeng 🟨,
- 33', Nobrega J. 🟨,
- 33', Chen Hao-Wei 🟨,
- 42', Zhang Lingfeng 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Wu Junhao ↓, Shi Zhe ↑,
- 46', Zhao Chengle ↓, Lu K. ↑,
- 46', Zhang Lingfeng ↓, Chen Ao ↑,
- 55', Gao D. 🟨,
- 65', Bao Shimeng ↓, Wen Da ↑,
- 66', Liu Yue ↓, Fan Xulin ↑,
- 74', Zhang Liang ↓, Song Runtong ↑,
- 74', Yao Xuchen ↓, Jia Xiaochen ↑,
- 77', Zhou Dadi ↓, Wu Junjie ↑,
- 81', Arafat Ghenifa ↓, Fortes C. ↑,
- 90+7', Fan Xulin 🟨,
Chances of winning
Suzhou Dongwu 67.9% | Draw 20.8% | Qingdao Red Lions 11.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Suzhou Dongwu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Suzhou Dongwu's performance.Qingdao Red Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Qingdao Red Lions might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Suzhou Dongwu than the current prediction. (-22.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Suzhou Dongwu that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Qingdao Red Lions than the current prediction. (+13.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Qingdao Red Lions could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Suzhou Dongwu - Qingdao Red Lions Odds
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1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.44 ↓ (1.5) |
4.7 ↑ (4.45) |
8.62 ↑ (5) |
2.4% (9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Suzhou Dongwu - Qingdao Red Lions?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Suzhou Dongwu will win (votes: 4 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Yi League).
- Suzhou Dongwu has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Qingdao Red Lions's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Suzhou Dongwu is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Suzhou Dongwu won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 2:1.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Suzhou Dongwu won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Suzhou Dongwu won against Qingdao Red Lions?
Suzhou Dongwu has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Qingdao Red Lions won against Suzhou Dongwu?
Qingdao Red Lions has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Suzhou Dongwu - Qingdao Red Lions were as follows:
11.05.2025
Qingdao Red Lions
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Suzhou Dongwu
0:1
05.10.2024
Suzhou Dongwu
-
Qingdao Red Lions
2:1
26.05.2024
Qingdao Red Lions
-
Suzhou Dongwu
3:3
31.05.2023
Qingdao Red Lions
-
Suzhou Dongwu
1:2
Latest results of Suzhou Dongwu
Latest results of Qingdao Red Lions
Chinese Jia League Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Yanbian Longding | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 2 | Wuxi Wugou | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Guangdong GZ-Power | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Dingnan Ganlian | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Nantong Zhiyun | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Nanjing City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Dalian K'un City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Shenzhen Juniors | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 10 | Guangxi Hengchen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 11 | Shaanxi Union | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 12 | Foshan Nanshi | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 13 | Suzhou Dongwu | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | -3 |
| 14 | Ningbo Professional | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | -3 |
| 15 | Meizhou Hakka | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | -3 |
| 16 | Changchun Yatai | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | -4 |
Promotion ~ Super League
Relegation ~ League Two