Result
15/09/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Bahia
39.4% | Draw
30.3% | Cruzeiro
30.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bahia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)Cruzeiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Bahia - Cruzeiro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.41 ↑
(2.37) |
3.13 ↑
(3.06) |
3.11 ↓
(3.24) |
5.7%
(5.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bahia won 1.
- Bahia has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Cruzeiro is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Bahia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Bahia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Bahia won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 18:26. (average 0.9:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bahia won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Bahia won against Cruzeiro?
Bahia has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cruzeiro won against Bahia?
Cruzeiro has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bahia - Cruzeiro were as follows:
17.04.2025
Cruzeiro
-
Bahia
3:0
18.10.2024
Cruzeiro
-
Bahia
1:1
23.06.2024
Bahia
-
Cruzeiro
4:1
25.10.2023
Cruzeiro
-
Bahia
3:0
10.06.2023
Bahia
-
Cruzeiro
2:2
Latest results of Cruzeiro
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 45:10 | 35 | 47 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 35:15 | 20 | 44 |
| 3 | Palmeiras | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 28:16 | 12 | 43 |
| 4 | Bahia | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 28:22 | 6 | 36 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 30:13 | 17 | 35 |
| 6 | Mirassol | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 35:20 | 15 | 35 |
| 7 | Sao Paulo | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 26:23 | 3 | 32 |
| 8 | Bragantino | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 27:32 | -5 | 30 |
| 9 | Fluminense | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 25:28 | -3 | 28 |
| 10 | Internacional | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 25:29 | -4 | 27 |
| 11 | Ceara | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 19:20 | -1 | 26 |
| 12 | Corinthians | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 26 |
| 13 | Gremio | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 20:26 | -6 | 25 |
| 14 | Atletico-MG | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 20:24 | -4 | 24 |
| 15 | Vasco | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 30:31 | -1 | 22 |
| 16 | Santos | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 20:31 | -11 | 22 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 22 | 4 | 10 | 8 | 19:32 | -13 | 22 |
| 18 | Juventude | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 19:41 | -22 | 21 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 20:34 | -14 | 15 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 14:33 | -19 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
