Result
1:1
27/07/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 17
- Referee: Rodrigues F. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Caze TV, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, TV Record, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 Israel | Sport 2 |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.42 | 0.99 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 27 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (433/494) | 84% (335/399) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.42 | 0.99 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.63 | 1.11 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 27 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (433/494) | 84% (335/399) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (12/27) | 40% (22/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (147/185) | 75% (64/85) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (8/36) | 28% (5/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 1.14 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 82% (9/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 44 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.11 | 1.63 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.11 | 0.63 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 30', 0 - 1, Rayan ⚽, David (A),
- 44', Clayton Sampaio 🟨,
- 45+3', Lucas Freitas 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Gustavo Prado ↓, Carbonero J. ↑,
- 62', Bruno Henrique ↓, Bruno Tabata ↑,
- 68', Leo Jardim 🟨,
- 73', David ↓, Thiago Mendes ↑,
- 74', Alan Patrick ↓, Vitinho ↑,
- 74', Wesley ↓, Raykkonen ↑,
- 77', Thiago Mendes 🟨,
- 85', Rayan ↓, Garre B. ↑,
- 85', Lucas Freitas ↓, Victor Luis ↑,
- 86', Leo Jardim 🟨,
- 90', Moreira N. ↓, Daniel Fuzato ↑,
- 90+1', 1 - 1, Carbonero J. ⚽,
- 90+2', Tche Tche ↓, Luiz Gustavo ↑,
Chances of winning
Internacional RS
60.3% | Draw
23.6% | Vasco da Gama
16.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Internacional RS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)Vasco da Gama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Internacional RS than the current prediction. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Internacional RS - Vasco da Gama Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.57 ↓
(1.65) |
4.04 ↑
(3.63) |
5.87 ↑
(5.64) |
5.4%
(6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Internacional RS - Vasco da Gama?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.5, 1st Half - Internacional (votes: 9 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Internacional RS will win
(25 of 30 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.99% – 96.67%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Internacional RS will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Internacional won 4.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Internacional may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Internacional is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Internacional: Bruno Gomes
(Knee Injury)
Drummond L.
(Knee Injury)
Fernando
(Knee Injury)
Ivan
(Knee Injury)
Ricardo Mathias
(Thigh Injury)
Romero O.
(Knee Injury)
Ronaldo
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Vitao
(Yellow Cards)
Vitinho
(Elbow Injury)
- There will not play in Vasco: Adson
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Vasco: Thiago Mendes
(Inactive)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Internacional won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 30:17. (average 1.9:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Internacional won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:8. (average 2.4:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Internacional RS won against Vasco da Gama?
Internacional RS has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vasco da Gama won against Internacional RS?
Vasco da Gama has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Internacional RS - Vasco da Gama were as follows:
21.11.2024
Vasco da Gama
-
Internacional RS
0:1
07.07.2024
Internacional RS
-
Vasco da Gama
1:2
26.10.2023
Vasco da Gama
-
Internacional RS
1:2
11.06.2023
Internacional RS
-
Vasco da Gama
2:1
Latest results of Internacional RS
Latest results of Vasco da Gama
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 45:10 | 35 | 47 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 35:15 | 20 | 44 |
| 3 | Palmeiras | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 28:16 | 12 | 43 |
| 4 | Bahia | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 28:22 | 6 | 36 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 30:13 | 17 | 35 |
| 6 | Mirassol | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 35:20 | 15 | 35 |
| 7 | Sao Paulo | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 26:23 | 3 | 32 |
| 8 | Bragantino | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 27:32 | -5 | 30 |
| 9 | Fluminense | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 25:28 | -3 | 28 |
| 10 | Internacional | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 25:29 | -4 | 27 |
| 11 | Ceara | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 19:20 | -1 | 26 |
| 12 | Corinthians | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 26 |
| 13 | Gremio | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 20:26 | -6 | 25 |
| 14 | Atletico-MG | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 20:24 | -4 | 24 |
| 15 | Vasco | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 30:31 | -1 | 22 |
| 16 | Santos | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 20:31 | -11 | 22 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 22 | 4 | 10 | 8 | 19:32 | -13 | 22 |
| 18 | Juventude | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 19:41 | -22 | 21 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 20:34 | -14 | 15 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 14:33 | -19 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
