Result
1:1
14/03/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 7
- Referee: Ureta D. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play, Movistar Deportes, Movistar TV App |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.15 | 0.52 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 32% | 68% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (148/200) | 85% (362/426) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.15 | 0.52 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 0.20 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
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| 4 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (148/200) | 85% (362/426) |
| Long passes |
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| 34% (15/44) | 45% (15/33) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 47% (30/64) | 69% (79/114) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 0% (0/8) | 25% (4/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
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| 0.12 | 0.74 |
| Throw ins |
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| 16 | 16 |
| Fouls |
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| 13 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (11/17) | 73% (11/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 46 |
| Clearances |
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| 28 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
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| 21 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
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| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.20 | 0.56 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.20 | -0.44 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 25', Canales E. 🟨,
- 29', Canales E. 🟨,
- 33', Sinisterra J. ↓, Salazar A. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 56', Castillo E. ↓, Cantero A. ↑,
- 58', Salazar A. 🟨,
- 59', Garces R. 🟨,
- 61', 1 - 0, Salazar A. ⚽, Da Silva B. (A),
- 65', Castillo J. ↓, Gaibor F. ↑,
- 65', Quevedo K. ↓, Gentile G. ↑,
- 70', Da Silva B. ↓, Arancibia F. ↑,
- 70', Graneros A. ↓, Portales J. ↑,
- 74', Gaibor F. ↓, Ramos L. ↑,
- 74', Garces R. ↓, Carbajal C. ↑,
- 78', Gonzalez A. 🟨,
- 81', 1 - 1, Gomez A. (Own goal),
Chances of winning
Deportivo Garcilaso
33.6% | Draw
32.2% | Alianza Lima
34.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Garcilaso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)Alianza Lima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alianza Lima might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Garcilaso than the current prediction. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Lima than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alianza Lima could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Deportivo Garcilaso - Alianza Lima Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.79 ↓
(3.05) |
2.88 ↓
(3.06) |
2.73 ↑
(2.35) |
7.1%
(8.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Deportivo Garcilaso - Alianza Lima?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Deportivo Garcilaso will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Alianza Lima will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1% – 88.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 4 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Alianza Lima (2.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Deportivo Garcilaso (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Deportivo Garcilaso (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Alianza Lima (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Garcilaso won 1.
- Deportivo Garcilaso has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Alianza Lima is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Deportivo Garcilaso: Ascues A.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Alianza Lima: Archimbaud J.
(Knee Injury)
Viscarra G.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Garcilaso won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 1.5:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Garcilaso won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Garcilaso won against Alianza Lima?
Deportivo Garcilaso has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Lima won against Deportivo Garcilaso?
Alianza Lima has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Garcilaso - Alianza Lima were as follows:
13.09.2025
Alianza Lima
-
Deportivo Garcilaso
3:4
14.04.2025
Deportivo Garcilaso
-
Alianza Lima
0:1
26.10.2024
Deportivo Garcilaso
-
Alianza Lima
1:2
19.05.2024
Alianza Lima
-
Deportivo Garcilaso
3:2
29.10.2023
Deportivo Garcilaso
-
Alianza Lima
0:1
Latest results of Deportivo Garcilaso
Latest results of Alianza Lima
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Los Chankas | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 14:8 | 6 | 17 |
| 2 | Alianza Lima | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 17 |
| 3 | U. de Deportes | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 14 |
| 4 | Cienciano | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 13 |
| 5 | Cajamarca | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 13 |
| 6 | Sporting Cristal | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13:8 | 5 | 11 |
| 7 | FBC Melgar | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:9 | 2 | 10 |
| 8 | Comerciantes Unidos | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 | Juan Pablo II | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13:18 | -5 | 10 |
| 10 | Alianza Atl | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 9 |
| 11 | AD Tarma | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 8 |
| 12 | Sport Huancayo | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8:9 | -1 | 7 |
| 13 | Cusco | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7:8 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 | Moquegua | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5:12 | -7 | 7 |
| 15 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 6 |
| 16 | FC Cajamarca | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 5 |
| 17 | Grau | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3:8 | -5 | 5 |
| 18 | Sport Boys | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3:9 | -6 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
