Result
1:1
05/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 19
- Referee: Araujo G. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, Ecuavisa, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
Peru | Zapping Sports |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.30 | 1.83 |
Ball Possession |
---|
23% | 77% |
Total shots |
---|
6 | 16 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 5 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
57% (89/157) | 89% (473/533) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 2 |
Red Cards |
---|
1 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.30 | 1.83 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.45 | 1.48 |
Total shots |
---|
6 | 16 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 5 |
Shots off target |
---|
3 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
0 | 7 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
2 | 12 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
4 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
6 | 36 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 1 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 5 |
Free Kicks |
---|
8 | 7 |
Passes |
---|
57% (89/157) | 89% (473/533) |
Long passes |
---|
37% (22/60) | 50% (18/36) |
Passes in final third |
---|
30% (19/63) | 74% (117/159) |
Crosses |
---|
0% (0/8) | 20% (4/20) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.07 | 1.78 |
Throw-ins |
---|
14 | 15 |
Fouls |
---|
7 | 8 |
Tackles |
---|
75% (3/4) | 50% (4/8) |
Duels won |
---|
20 | 29 |
Clearances |
---|
28 | 24 |
Interceptions |
---|
8 | 4 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
4 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.48 | 0.45 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.51 | -0.55 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 5', 1 - 0, Gracia A. ⚽,
- 20', Orejuela C. 🟨,
- 25', Romo R. 🟨,
- 28', Bentaberry B. 🟥,
- 33', Caicedo E. ↓, Chala Rosales W. J. ↑,
- 34', 1 - 1, Palacios B. (Pen),
- 35', Davila E. 🟨,
- 36', Romero Padilla D. A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Clavijo E. ↓, Londono A. ↑,
- 46', Gracia A. ↓, Mina G. ↑,
- 46', Orejuela C. ↓, Tapiero S. ↑,
- 66', Penilla C. ↓, Olmedo M. ↑,
- 72', Moreno L. ↓, Alonso M. ↑,
- 73', Rodriguez A. ↓, Troya R. ↑,
- 74', Dos Santos J. ↓, Simisterra R. ↑,
- 82', Valencia E. ↓, Mejia E. ↑,
- 82', Cacciabue J. ↓, Diaz M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Mushuc Runa 36.2% | Draw 26.9% | Universidad Católica del Ecuador 36.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mushuc Runa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)Universidad Católica del Ecuador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mushuc Runa than the current prediction. (+4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad Católica del Ecuador than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
Mushuc Runa - Universidad Católica del Ecuador Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.54 ↑ (2.31) |
3.45 ↓ (3.45) |
2.5 ↓ (2.87) |
8.3% (7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Mushuc Runa - Universidad Católica del Ecuador?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Mushuc Runa will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Uni Católica will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Uni Católica (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: ) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mushuc Runa won 1.
- Mushuc Runa has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Uni Católica has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Mushuc Runa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Mushuc Runa won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:22. (average 1.2:2.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mushuc Runa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 1.3:2.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Mushuc Runa won against Universidad Católica del Ecuador?
Mushuc Runa has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Universidad Católica del Ecuador won against Mushuc Runa?
Universidad Católica del Ecuador has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mushuc Runa - Universidad Católica del Ecuador were as follows:
09.03.2025
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
-
Mushuc Runa
1:1
30.08.2024
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
-
Mushuc Runa
5:1
22.05.2024
Mushuc Runa
-
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
2:1
25.11.2023
Mushuc Runa
-
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
0:2
09.06.2023
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
-
Mushuc Runa
3:2
Latest results of Mushuc Runa
Latest results of Universidad Católica del Ecuador
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Ind. del Valle | 25 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 45:20 | 25 | 53 |
2 | LDU Quito | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 41:24 | 17 | 44 |
3 | Barcelona SC | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 37:29 | 8 | 44 |
4 | Libertad | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 40:34 | 6 | 41 |
5 | Dep. Cuenca | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 30:25 | 5 | 39 |
6 | Aucas | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 35:37 | -2 | 38 |
7 | Orense | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 27:29 | -2 | 38 |
8 | U. Catolica | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 46:33 | 13 | 36 |
9 | Emelec | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 24:28 | -4 | 35 |
10 | EL Nacional | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 30:35 | -5 | 28 |
11 | Delfin | 25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 24:37 | -13 | 28 |
12 | Macara | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 23:26 | -3 | 27 |
13 | Manta | 25 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 31:42 | -11 | 25 |
14 | Tecnico U | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 24:35 | -11 | 25 |
15 | Vinotinto | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 29:36 | -7 | 24 |
16 | Mushuc Runa ✔ | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 27:43 | -16 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )