Result
0:2
11/03/2026 at 14:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- WTA - SINGLES: Indian Wells, hard - 1/8-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 65% | 74% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 53% (19/36) | 79% (23/29) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 21% (4/19) | 60% (6/10) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 2/7 | 0/0 |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 21% (6/29) | 47% (17/36) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 40% (4/10) | 79% (15/19) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 0/0 | 5/7 |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 42% (23/55) | 74% (29/39) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 26% (10/39) | 58% (32/55) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 35% (33/94) | 65% (61/94) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 29% (2/7) | 100% (7/7) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 0% (0/7) | 71% (5/7) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 14% (2/14) | 86% (12/14) |
Chances of winning
Karolina Muchova
36.5% | Iga Swiatek
63.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Karolina Muchova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)Iga Swiatek has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karolina Muchova than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Karolina Muchova, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Iga Swiatek than the current prediction. (-5.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Iga Swiatek, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Karolina Muchova - Iga Swiatek Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.61 ↑
(2.32) |
|
1.5 ↓
(1.59) |
5%
(6%) | |
What is the prediction for Karolina Muchova - Iga Swiatek?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Muchova will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Swiatek will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Swiatek: 46.4% – 99%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Muchova (votes: 1 - 50%). Swiatek (votes: 1 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +1.5 Sets - Muchova (1.60) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- AH +3 Games - Muchova (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +3.5 Games - Muchova (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +4 Games - Muchova (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5 Sets - Muchova (4.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Muchova (votes: 6 - 75%). Swiatek (votes: 2 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Muchova is ranked WTA: 13. Swiatek is ranked WTA: 2.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Muchova won 0.
- At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.
- Swiatek will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- We predict that Swiatek will win today's game, with odds of 1.56.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Muchova won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 0.9:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Karolina Muchova won against Iga Swiatek?
Karolina Muchova has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Iga Swiatek won against Karolina Muchova?
Iga Swiatek has won 4 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Karolina Muchova - Iga Swiatek were as follows:
11.03.2025
Karolina Muchova
-
Iga Swiatek
0:2
31.12.2024
Iga Swiatek
-
Karolina Muchova
2:0
10.08.2023
Iga Swiatek
-
Karolina Muchova
2:1
10.06.2023
Iga Swiatek
-
Karolina Muchova
2:1
Latest results of Karolina Muchova
Latest results of Iga Swiatek
Draw
Singles - Main1/64-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Sakatsume H. (Q) | Parks A. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Cristian J. | Tjen J. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Bye | Joint M. (29) | |
| 5 | Jovic I. (18) | Bye | |
| 6 | Stephens S. (WC) | Osorio C. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Jimenez Kasintseva V. (Q) | McNally C. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Bye | Osaka N. (16) | |
| 9 | Mboko V. (10) | Bye | |
| 10 | Birrell K. | Selekhmeteva O. | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Sonmez Z. | Kessler M. | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Bye | Kalinskaya A. (23) | |
| 13 | Raducanu E. (25) | Bye | |
| 14 | Seidel E. | Zakharova A. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Galfi D. (LL) | Blinkova A. | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Bye | Anisimova A. (6) | |
| 17 | Gauff C. (4) | Bye | |
| 18 | Andreescu B. (WC) | Rakhimova K. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 19 | Yastremska D. | Zhang S. | 2 : 0 |
| 20 | Bye | Eala A. (31) | |
| 21 | Shnaider D. (21) | Bye | |
| 22 | Cirstea S. | Maria T. | 2 : 1 |
| 23 | Bouzas Maneiro J. | Haddad Maia B. | 2 : 1 |
| 24 | Bye | Noskova L. (14) | |
| 25 | Alexandrova E. (11) | Bye | |
| 26 | Gibson T. (Q) | Li A. | 2 : 0 |
| 27 | Putintseva Y. | Badosa P. | 2 : 0 |
| 28 | Bye | Tauson C. (17) | |
| 29 | Wang Xin. (30) | Bye | |
| 30 | Tomljanovic A. | Ruse G. | 2 : 0 |
| 31 | Potapova A. | Stakusic M. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 32 | Bye | Paolini J. (7) | |
| 33 | Pegula J. (5) | Bye | |
| 34 | Vekic D. (WC) | Valentova T. | 2 : 0 |
| 35 | Volynets K. (WC) | Sramkova R. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 36 | Bye | Ostapenko J. (26) | |
| 37 | Mertens E. (22) | Bye | |
| 38 | Bucsa C. | Vidmanova D. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 39 | Hunter S. (Q) | Frech M. | 2 : 1 |
| 40 | Bye | Bencic B. (12) | |
| 41 | Keys M. (15) | Bye | |
| 42 | Parry D. (Q) | Williams V. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 43 | Tararudee L. (Q) | Kartal S. | 0 : 2 |
| 44 | Bye | Navarro E. (20) | |
| 45 | Kostyuk M. (28) | Bye | |
| 46 | Bouzkova M. | Townsend T. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 47 | Arango E. | Baptiste H. | 1 : 2 |
| 48 | Bye | Rybakina E. (3) | |
| 49 | Andreeva M. (8) | Bye | |
| 50 | Stearns P. | Sierra S. | 0 : 2 |
| 51 | Siniakova K. | Kenin S. | 2 : 1 |
| 52 | Bye | Fernandez L. (27) | |
| 53 | Samsonova L. (19) | Bye | |
| 54 | Linette M. | Krueger A. | 0 : 2 |
| 55 | Siegemund L. | Marcinko P. | 2 : 1 |
| 56 | Bye | Svitolina E. (9) | |
| 57 | Muchova K. (13) | Bye | |
| 58 | Jacquemot E. | Bondar A. | 0 : 2 |
| 59 | Ruzic A. | Brady J. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 60 | Bye | Zheng Q. (24) | |
| 61 | Sakkari M. (32) | Bye | |
| 62 | Gracheva V. | Tagger L. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 63 | Jones F. | Day K. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 64 | Bye | Swiatek I. (2) | |
1/32-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Sakatsume H. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Cristian J. | Joint M. (29) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Jovic I. (18) | Osorio C. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Jimenez Kasintseva V. | Osaka N. (16) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Mboko V. (10) | Birrell K. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Sonmez Z. | Kalinskaya A. (23) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Raducanu E. (25) | Zakharova A. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Blinkova A. | Anisimova A. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Gauff C. (4) | Rakhimova K. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Yastremska D. | Eala A. (31) | 1 : 2 |
| 11 | Shnaider D. (21) | Cirstea S. | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Bouzas Maneiro J. | Noskova L. (14) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Alexandrova E. (11) | Gibson T. | 0 : 2 |
| 14 | Putintseva Y. | Tauson C. (17) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Wang Xin. (30) | Tomljanovic A. | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Potapova A. | Paolini J. (7) | 1 : 2 |
| 17 | Pegula J. (5) | Vekic D. | 2 : 1 |
| 18 | Volynets K. | Ostapenko J. (26) | 0 : 2 |
| 19 | Mertens E. (22) | Bucsa C. | 2 : 0 |
| 20 | Hunter S. | Bencic B. (12) | 0 : 2 |
| 21 | Keys M. (15) | Parry D. | 2 : 0 |
| 22 | Kartal S. | Navarro E. (20) | 2 : 1 |
| 23 | Kostyuk M. (28) | Townsend T. | 2 : 0 |
| 24 | Baptiste H. | Rybakina E. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 25 | Andreeva M. (8) | Sierra S. | 2 : 0 |
| 26 | Siniakova K. | Fernandez L. (27) | 2 : 1 |
| 27 | Samsonova L. (19) | Krueger A. | 1 : 2 |
| 28 | Siegemund L. | Svitolina E. (9) | 1 : 2 |
| 29 | Muchova K. (13) | Bondar A. | 2 : 0 |
| 30 | Ruzic A. | Zheng Q. (24) | 2 : 0 |
| 31 | Sakkari M. (32) | Tagger L. | 2 : 0 |
| 32 | Day K. | Swiatek I. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Cristian J. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Osorio C. | Osaka N. (16) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Mboko V. (10) | Kalinskaya A. (23) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Raducanu E. (25) | Anisimova A. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Gauff C. (RET.) (4) | Eala A. (31) | 0 : 1 |
| 6 | Cirstea S. | Noskova L. (14) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Gibson T. | Tauson C. (17) | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Tomljanovic A. | Paolini J. (7) | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Pegula J. (5) | Ostapenko J. (26) | 2 : 1 |
| 10 | Mertens E. (22) | Bencic B. (12) | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Keys M. (15) | Kartal S. | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Kostyuk M. (28) | Rybakina E. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Andreeva M. (8) | Siniakova K. | 1 : 2 |
| 14 | Krueger A. | Svitolina E. (9) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Muchova K. (13) | Ruzic A. | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Sakkari M. (32) | Swiatek I. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Osaka N. (16) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Mboko V. (10) | Anisimova A. (6) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Eala A. (31) | Noskova L. (14) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Gibson T. | Paolini J. (7) | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Pegula J. (5) | Bencic B. (12) | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Kartal S. (RET.) | Rybakina E. (3) | 0 : 1 |
| 7 | Siniakova K. (RET.) | Svitolina E. (9) | 0 : 1 |
| 8 | Muchova K. (13) | Swiatek I. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Mboko V. (10) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Noskova L. (14) | Gibson T. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Pegula J. (5) | Rybakina E. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Svitolina E. (9) | Swiatek I. (2) | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Noskova L. (14) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Rybakina E. (3) | Svitolina E. (9) | 2 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Rybakina E. (3) | 2 : 1 |
