Universidad San Martín vs Deportivo Llacuabamba – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Peruvian Liga 2 Universidad San Martín - Deportivo Llacuabamba
Result
2:1
31/08/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 2 - Relegation Group - Round 7

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 28', 0 - 1, ,
  • 31', 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 62', 🟨,
  • 74', 🟨,
  • 80', 1 - 1, ,
  • 81', 2 - 1, ,
  • 82', 🟨,
  • 85', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Universidad San Martín
53.7%
Draw
25.5%
Deportivo Llacuabamba
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.9% 21.5% 16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.6% 22.5% 15.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Universidad San Martín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Universidad San Martín's form might have worsened.
  • Deportivo Llacuabamba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad San Martín than the current prediction. (+10.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Universidad San Martín, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Llacuabamba than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo Llacuabamba, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Universidad San Martín - Deportivo Llacuabamba Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.72
    (1.46)
    3.55
    (4.2)
    4.2
    (5.47)
    10%
    (10.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uni San Martín won 2.
    • Uni San Martín has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Llacuabamba's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Uni San Martín is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Uni San Martín won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1.3:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Uni San Martín won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Universidad San Martín - Deportivo Llacuabamba were as follows:
    27.07.2025 Deportivo Llacuabamba - Universidad San Martín 4:1
    06.10.2023 Deportivo Llacuabamba - Universidad San Martín 1:1
    02.10.2023 Universidad San Martín - Deportivo Llacuabamba 1:0
    11.09.2023 Deportivo Llacuabamba - Universidad San Martín 0:0
    19.06.2023 Universidad San Martín - Deportivo Llacuabamba 2:2
    Latest results of Deportivo Llacuabamba
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1FC CajamarcaBye
    2ComerciantesCesar Vallejo0 : 1
    3Union ComercioBye
    4MoqueguaADA Jaen2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1FC CajamarcaCesar Vallejo
    2Union ComercioMoquegua

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2