Francisco Cerundolo vs Tommy Paul – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
23/03/2025 at 21:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Miami (USA), hard - 1/16-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliabeIN Sports 1
brazilBrazilESPN 2
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 1
czech-republicCzech-republicPremier Sport 1, Premier Sport 2
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
germanyGermanySky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 6
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 4
polandPolandPolsat Sport 1
portugalPortugalSport TV3
romaniaRomaniaDigi Sport 2, Digi Sport 4, Prima Sport 5
swedenSwedenTV4 Play, TV4 Tennis
ukraineUkraineSetanta Sports Premium
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Tennis

Match Stats

Aces
13
Double Faults
23
1st Serve Percentage
75%59%
1st Serve Points Won
64% (28/44)61% (22/36)
2nd Serve Points Won
67% (10/15)36% (9/25)
Break Points Saved
0% (0/3)38% (3/8)
1st Return Points Won
39% (14/36)36% (16/44)
2nd Return Points Won
64% (16/25)33% (5/15)
Break Points Converted
63% (5/8)100% (3/3)
Winners
1513
Unforced Errors
1110
Net Points Won
75% (6/8)67% (6/9)
Service Points Won
64% (38/59)51% (31/61)
Return Points Won
49% (30/61)36% (21/59)
Total Points Won
57% (68/120)43% (52/120)
Last 10 Balls
64
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
70% (7/10)50% (5/10)
Return Games Won
50% (5/10)30% (3/10)
Total Games Won
60% (12/20)40% (8/20)

Chances of winning


Francisco Cerundolo
36.6%
Tommy Paul
63.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.2% 65.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5% 65.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Francisco Cerundolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • Tommy Paul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francisco Cerundolo than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tommy Paul than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • Francisco Cerundolo - Tommy Paul Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.59
    (2.78)

    1.5
    (1.44)
    5.2%
    (5.2%)
    What is the prediction for Francisco Cerundolo - Tommy Paul?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Cerundolo will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Paul will win (votes: 6 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Cerundolo: 21.7%78.3%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Cerundolo is ranked ATP: 24. Paul is ranked ATP: 13.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Cerundolo won 4.
    • Cerundolo is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Paul is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Cerundolo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Paul will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Last 7 head-to-head matches Cerundolo won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13:8 (average 1.9:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Francisco Cerundolo - Tommy Paul were as follows:
    01.06.2024 Francisco Cerundolo - Tommy Paul 3:1
    28.04.2024 Tommy Paul - Francisco Cerundolo 1:2
    09.08.2023 Tommy Paul - Francisco Cerundolo 2:1
    01.07.2023 Francisco Cerundolo - Tommy Paul 2:1
    19.06.2023 Tommy Paul - Francisco Cerundolo 1:2
    Latest results of Tommy Paul
    07.03.2025 Tommy Paul - Tristan Boyer 2:0
    26.02.2025 Marcos Giron - Tommy Paul Giron M. walkover
    Draw
    Singles - Qualification

    Semi-finals
    1Buse I. (1)Echargui M.2 : 1
    2Pinnington Jones J.Wong C. (21)1 : 2
    3Hanfmann Y. (2)Riedi L.2 : 0
    4Willwerth B. (WC)van Assche L. (13)0 : 2
    5Tirante T. A. (3)Dedura D. (WC)2 : 0
    6Landaluce M.McDonald M. (22)2 : 0
    7Vukic A. (4)Harris B.0 : 0
    8Basavareddy N.Barrios Vera T. (18)0 : 2
    9Garin C. (5)Draxl L.1 : 2
    10Clarke J.Mochizuki S. (24)2 : 1
    11Walton A. (6)Rodesch C.2 : 0
    12Sweeny D.Hijikata R. (19)0 : 2
    13Bellucci M. (7)Jarry N.2 : 0
    14Cassone M. (Alt)Maestrelli F. (17)2 : 0
    15Kypson P. (8)Basilashvili N.0 : 2
    16Bolt A.Shimabukuro S. (16)1 : 2
    17Blockx A. (9)Tseng C. H.2 : 0
    18Mejia N.O'Connell C. (23)0 : 2
    19Burruchaga R. A. (10)Fery A.1 : 2
    20Bu Y.Schoolkate T. (20)2 : 0
    21Svajda Z. (11)Smith C.0 : 1
    22Merida Aguilar D.Svrcina D. (14)2 : 1
    23Jodar R. (12)Dhamne M. (WC)2 : 0
    24Miguel G. (WC)Bonzi B. (15)0 : 2

    Final
    1Buse I. (1)Wong C. (21)
    2Hanfmann Y. (2)van Assche L. (13)
    3Tirante T. A. (3)Landaluce M.
    4TBD #7Barrios Vera T. (18)
    5Draxl L.Clarke J.
    6Walton A. (6)Hijikata R. (19)
    7Bellucci M. (7)Cassone M.
    8Basilashvili N.Shimabukuro S. (16)
    9Blockx A. (9)O'Connell C. (23)
    10Fery A.Bu Y.
    11TBD #21Merida Aguilar D.
    12Jodar R. (12)Bonzi B. (15)