Union Omaha vs One Knoxville – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
21/09/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL League One
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.011.43
Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
169
Shots on target
75
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
91
Passes
79% (338/427)71% (187/263)
Yellow Cards
34
Expected Goals (xG)
1.011.43
xG on target (xGOT)
1.351.16
Total shots
169
Shots on target
75
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
50
Shots inside the Box
76
Shots outside the Box
93
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
91
Touches in opposition box
3216
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1518
Passes
79% (338/427)71% (187/263)
Long passes
55% (42/76)26% (14/53)
Passes in final third
60% (64/107)57% (43/76)
Crosses
35% (9/26)21% (3/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.810.41
Throw-ins
2619
Fouls
1815
Tackles
71% (10/14)67% (10/15)
Duels won
6151
Clearances
2434
Interceptions
610
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
1.161.35
Goals prevented
-0.84-0.65

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 6', 1 - 0, Ors S. ,
  • 15', 2 - 0, Ors S. ,
  • 21', Schneider M. 🟨,
  • 28', Goling M. 🟨,
  • 36', 2 - 1, Diene B. (Pen),
  • 39', Johnson C. 🟨,
  • 41', Ritchie S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Brown J. , Bull ,
  • 46', Doyle M. , Zarokostas S. ,
  • 49', Haugli S. 🟨,
  • 51', Goling M. , Tekiela K. ,
  • 60', Kallman B. , Holt A. ,
  • 60', Bronnik M. , Martinez I. ,
  • 63', Knapp B. 🟨,
  • 67', Acoff D. , Wootton L. ,
  • 68', Rosamilia N. , Calixtro G. ,
  • 68', Johnson C. , Caputo A. ,
  • 72', 2 - 2, Diene B. ,
  • 77', Botello Faz P. , Stefano Pinho ,
  • 77', Kasim P. , Becher R. ,
  • 79', Wootton L. 🟨,

Official Live

Chances of winning


Union Omaha
56.3%
Draw
25%
One Knoxville
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.2% 27.4% 29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5% 26.6% 28.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Union Omaha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Union Omaha's performance.
  • One Knoxville has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and One Knoxville might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Union Omaha than the current prediction. (-11.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Union Omaha that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for One Knoxville than the current prediction. (+9.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that One Knoxville could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Union Omaha - One Knoxville Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.73
    (2.1)
    3.89
    (3.3)
    5.19
    (3.08)
    3%
    (10.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Union Omaha won 4.
    • Union Omaha is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • One Knoxville has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • One Knoxville may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Union Omaha has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Union Omaha is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Union Omaha won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 1.3:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Union Omaha won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Union Omaha - One Knoxville were as follows:
    16.08.2025 One Knoxville - Union Omaha 1:0
    21.09.2024 Union Omaha - One Knoxville 1:0
    12.04.2024 One Knoxville - Union Omaha 0:1
    05.08.2023 Union Omaha - One Knoxville 3:1
    18.07.2023 One Knoxville - Union Omaha 1:2
    Latest results of Union Omaha
    Latest results of One Knoxville
    USL League One Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Naples64118:3513
    2Spokane Velocity641111:8313
    3Union Omaha54019:5412
    4One Knoxville63217:5211
    5Westchester SC521212:937
    6Greenville42028:716
    7Forward Madison32013:216
    8New York Cosmos52039:11-26
    9Portland Hearts of Pine41213:215
    10Boise41216:605
    11Charlotte Independ31117:434
    12Chattanooga Red Wolves31114:404
    13Fort Wayne41123:6-34
    14Sarasota Paradise61144:9-54
    15AV Alta60427:11-44
    16Corpus Christi FC40224:9-52
    17Richmond Kickers40132:6-41

          Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)