Result
 
                    2:0
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        27/07/2025 at  07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Super League - Round 18
- Where to Watch on TV: 
                    
|  |  | 
|---|
|  China | Migu, ZhiBo8 | 
 
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
|  |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 2.15 | 1.60 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 44% | 56% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 14 | 10 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 7 | 3 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 3 | 2 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 3 | 3 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 76% (245/321) | 77% (311/406) | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 6 | 2 | 
| Red Cards | 
|---|
| 1 | 0 | 
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 2.15 | 1.60 | 
| xG on target (xGOT) | 
|---|
| 2.14 | 1.15 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 14 | 10 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 7 | 3 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 5 | 4 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 2 | 3 | 
| Shots inside the Box | 
|---|
| 9 | 6 | 
| Shots outside the Box | 
|---|
| 5 | 4 | 
| Hit the Woodwork | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 3 | 2 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 3 | 3 | 
| Touches in opposition box | 
|---|
| 23 | 19 | 
| Accurate through passes | 
|---|
| 2 | 0 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 2 | 5 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 18 | 18 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 76% (245/321) | 77% (311/406) | 
| Long passes | 
|---|
| 47% (27/57) | 32% (20/63) | 
| Passes in final third | 
|---|
| 65% (66/101) | 49% (51/104) | 
| Crosses | 
|---|
| 15% (2/13) | 33% (6/18) | 
| Expected assists (xA) | 
|---|
| 1.56 | 0.40 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 16 | 21 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 18 | 18 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 76% (13/17) | 65% (11/17) | 
| Duels won | 
|---|
| 69 | 53 | 
| Clearances | 
|---|
| 49 | 30 | 
| Interceptions | 
|---|
| 7 | 4 | 
| Errors leading to shot | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Errors leading to goal | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 3 | 5 | 
| xGOT faced | 
|---|
| 1.15 | 2.14 | 
| Goals prevented | 
|---|
| 1.15 | 0.14 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 4', Lamkel Ze D. 🟨, 
- 7', Jin Yonghao 🟨, 
- 9', Wang Xianjun 🟨, 
- 16', 1 - 0, Lamkel Ze D. ⚽, Filipe Augusto (A), 
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Wang Xianjun ↓, Sun Ming-Him ↑, 
- 46', Yang Zihao ↓, Yang Fan ↑, 
- 49', Liu Jiashen 🟨, 
- 59', Xie Weijun ↓, Huang Jiahui ↑, 
- 60', Liu Junshuai ↓, Jin Yangyang ↑, 
- 61', Lin Chuangyi ↓, Luo Senwen ↑, 
- 69', Jin Yonghao ↓, Zhang Chi ↑, 
- 69', Wei Suowei ↓, Song Long ↑, 
- 77', Wang Qiuming ↓, Li Yongjia ↑, 
- 80', Ademi A. (Pen), 
- 81', Filipe Augusto ↓, Che Shiwei ↑, 
- 85', Salvador C. ↓, Liu J. ↑, 
- 88', Jin Yangyang 🟨, 
- 90', Xadas 🟨, 
- 90+5', Lamkel Ze D. 🟨, 
- 90+9', 2 - 0, Wellington Silva ⚽, 
- 90+11', Wellington Silva 🟨, 
  
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 | Qingdao Hainiu 29%
 | Draw 28.1%
 | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 42.9%
 | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Qingdao Hainiu - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			   |  | 1 | X | 2 | Marga |  | 
			
			
			   | Avarage Now (Initially)
 | 3.22 ↑ (3.04)
 | 3.35 ↓ (3.49)
 | 2.19 ↓ (2.19)
 | 6.6% (7.2%)
 |  | 
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Qingdao Hainiu - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger?
                    
                    
                        
						        
                                            
                                            Users Predictions: 
                                            
                                            
                                            8 users predict this event. Qingdao Hainiu will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Tianjin Jinmen Tiger will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%). 
Confidence interval (95%) for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger: 15.4% – 84.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tianjin Jinmen Tiger (votes: 1 - 100%).                                 The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Jia League and 5).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Qingdao Hainiu won 1.
- Qingdao Hainiu has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Tianjin Jinmen Tiger has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Tianjin Jinmen Tiger may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Tianjin Jinmen Tiger could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Qingdao Hainiu: Feng Boyuan
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Tianjin Jinmen Tiger: Fang Jingqi
(Injury)
Shi Yan
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Qingdao Hainiu: Ormeno S.
(Inactive)
Wei Suowei
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Tianjin Jinmen Tiger: Ademi A.
(Injury)
Yang Fan
(Injury)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Qingdao Hainiu won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.4:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Qingdao Hainiu won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.8:1.5).                        
  
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Qingdao Hainiu won against Tianjin Jinmen Tiger?
                    
                    
                        
                            Qingdao Hainiu has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Tianjin Jinmen Tiger won against Qingdao Hainiu?
                    
                    
                        
                             Tianjin Jinmen Tiger has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Qingdao Hainiu - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger were as follows:
                                                        
                                29.03.2025 
                                Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 
                                - 
                                Qingdao Hainiu 
                                1:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                27.10.2024 
                                Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 
                                - 
                                Qingdao Hainiu 
                                1:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                26.05.2024 
                                Qingdao Hainiu 
                                - 
                                Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 
                                3:1
                            
        
                                                        
                                22.10.2023 
                                Qingdao Hainiu 
                                - 
                                Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 
                                1:4
                            
        
                                                        
                                28.06.2023 
                                Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 
                                - 
                                Qingdao Hainiu 
                                3:2
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Qingdao Hainiu                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Tianjin Jinmen Tiger                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Chinese Super League Table
2025|  |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Shanghai Port | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 68:44 | 24 | 60 | 
| 2 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 28 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 58:25 | 33 | 59 | 
| 3 | Shanghai Shenhua | 28 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 63:34 | 29 | 58 | 
| 4 | Beijing Guoan | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 60:45 | 15 | 51 | 
| 5 | Shandong Taishan | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 62:44 | 18 | 47 | 
| 6 | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 38:36 | 2 | 44 | 
| 7 | Zhejiang Professional | 28 | 10 | 11 | 7 | 58:46 | 12 | 41 | 
| 8 | Yunnan Yukun | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 45:51 | -6 | 38 | 
| 9 | Qingdao West Coast | 28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 38:42 | -4 | 37 | 
| 10 | Dalian Yingbo | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 28:42 | -14 | 35 | 
| 11 | Henan Songshan Longmen | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 49:46 | 3 | 33 | 
| 12 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 28 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 34:57 | -23 | 26 | 
| 13 | Wuhan Three Towns | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 33:56 | -23 | 25 | 
| 14 | Qingdao Hainiu | 28 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 32:46 | -14 | 21 | 
| 15 | Meizhou Hakka | 28 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 33:64 | -31 | 20 | 
| 16 | Changchun Yatai | 28 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 26:47 | -21 | 19 | 
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ League One