Result
2:1
10/01/2026 at 02:40 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Hong Kong, hard - Semi-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | beIN Sports 1 |
 Denmark | TV2 Play |
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 4 |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports Tennis |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 74% | 65% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 76% (65/86) | 74% (50/68) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 45% (14/31) | 51% (19/37) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 88% (7/8) | 70% (7/10) |
| Average 1st serve speed |
|---|
| 199 km/h | 197 km/h |
| Average 2nd serve speed |
|---|
| 167 km/h | 155 km/h |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 26% (18/68) | 24% (21/86) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 49% (18/37) | 55% (17/31) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 30% (3/10) | 13% (1/8) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 43 | 41 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 29 | 37 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 94% (17/18) | 71% (24/34) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 68% (79/117) | 66% (69/105) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 34% (36/105) | 32% (38/117) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 52% (115/222) | 48% (107/222) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 94% (16/17) | 82% (14/17) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 18% (3/17) | 6% (1/17) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 56% (19/34) | 44% (15/34) |
Chances of winning
Lorenzo Musetti
52.6% | Andrey Rublev
47.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Lorenzo Musetti - Andrey Rublev Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.8 ↓
(1.87) |
|
2 ↑
(1.97) |
5.5%
(4.2%) | |
What is the prediction for Lorenzo Musetti - Andrey Rublev?
Users Predictions:
Andrey Rublev will win
(16 of 19 users predict this - 84.21%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.81% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Andrey Rublev will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Musetti is ranked ATP: 7. Rublev is ranked ATP: 16.
- Recent performances by Musetti have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Rublev is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Musetti may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Musetti won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Lorenzo Musetti won against Andrey Rublev?
Lorenzo Musetti has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Andrey Rublev won against Lorenzo Musetti?
Andrey Rublev has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lorenzo Musetti - Andrey Rublev were as follows:
30.06.2023
Andrey Rublev
-
Lorenzo Musetti
2:0
Latest results of Lorenzo Musetti
Latest results of Andrey Rublev
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Musetti L. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Etcheverry T. M. | Royer V. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Wong C. (WC) | Navone M. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | De Jong J. | Diallo G. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Rublev A. (3) | Bye | |
| 6 | Wu Y. (WC) | Marozsan F. | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Cilic M. | Mannarino A. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Dzumhur D. | Borges N. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Muller A. (7) | Kecmanovic M. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Djere L. (Q) | Giron M. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Tabilo A. (Q) | Mmoh M. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Bye | Khachanov K. (4) | |
| 13 | Sonego L. (5) | Sakamoto R. (NG) | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Shang J. (WC) | Comesana F. | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Struff J-L. (Q) | Van De Zandschulp B. | 1 : 2 |
| 16 | Bye | Bublik A. (2) | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Musetti L. (1) | Etcheverry T. M. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Wong C. | Diallo G. (6) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Rublev A. (3) | Wu Y. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Cilic M. | Borges N. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Muller A. (7) | Giron M. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Mmoh M. | Khachanov K. (4) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Sonego L. (5) | Shang J. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Van De Zandschulp B. | Bublik A. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Musetti L. (1) | Wong C. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Rublev A. (3) | Borges N. (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Giron M. | Mmoh M. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Shang J. | Bublik A. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Musetti L. (1) | Rublev A. (3) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Giron M. | Bublik A. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Musetti L. (1) | Bublik A. (2) | 0 : 2 |
