Albirex Niigata vs Kataller Toyama – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3
20/03/2026 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J2/J3 League - Round 7
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
japanJapanAbemaTV, DAZN Japan

Match Stats

Ball possession
53%47%
Total shots
1414
Shots on target
66
Corner kicks
26
Yellow cards
13
Total shots
1414
Shots on target
66
Shots off target
88
Corner kicks
26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 3)
  • 12', 0 - 1, Tsuboi K. ,
  • 37', 0 - 2, Tsuboi K. ,
  • 43', 0 - 3, Okamoto S. , Jung Woo-Young (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Shimabuku K. , Moraes M. ,
  • 46', Fitzgerald M. , Funaki K. ,
  • 54', Matsuoka D. 🟨,
  • 54', Shirai E. , Arai T. ,
  • 58', Matsuoka D. , Nishiya S. ,
  • 63', Yoshihira T. , Ogawa K. ,
  • 63', Tsuboi K. , Nakashima Y. ,
  • 66', 1 - 3, Moraes M. ,
  • 68', Okumura J. , Kasai K. ,
  • 75', Onishi Y. , Ochiai R. ,
  • 75', Okamoto S. , Saneto Y. ,
  • 75', Jung Woo-Young , Shiina N. ,
  • 81', 2 - 3, Kasai K. , Fujiwara S. (A),
  • 90', Ogawa K. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Hirao T. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Moraes M. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Albirex Niigata
39.6%
Draw
28.1%
Kataller Toyama
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45% 26.9% 28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.8% 28% 27%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Albirex Niigata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Albirex Niigata's form might have worsened.
  • Kataller Toyama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Albirex Niigata, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kataller Toyama than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kataller Toyama, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Albirex Niigata - Kataller Toyama Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.33
    (2.06)
    3.29
    (3.45)
    2.87
    (3.3)
    8.2%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Albirex Niigata - Kataller Toyama?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Niigata will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Kataller Toyama will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DC - Kataller Toyama (1.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Kataller Toyama (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • EH -1 - Kataller Toyama (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Kataller Toyama (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ))
    • In recent matches, Niigata has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Kataller Toyama is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, Niigata has had a series of away games.
    • Niigata is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Niigata won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Albirex Niigata - Kataller Toyama were as follows:
    19.07.2023 Kataller Toyama - Albirex Niigata 3:4
    Latest results of Albirex Niigata
    Latest results of Kataller Toyama
    Japan J2 J3 League Table
    2026

    East A
    PlWWLLPts
    1Vegalta Sendai10640021:626
    2Shonan Bellmare10711120:824
    3Blaublitz10701213:822
    4Montedio Yamagata10410512:1114
    5Tochigi SC10401518:1913
    6Sagamihara10311518:2012
    7Vanraure10303411:1312
    8Yokohama FC10310617:1711
    9Tochigi City10211612:239
    10Kusatsu10112610:277


    East B
    PlWWLLPts
    1Iwaki10621118:1023
    2Kofu10610314:720
    3Omiya Ardija10601324:1519
    4Yamaga10511323:1318
    5Gifu10511317:1318
    6Fujieda MYFC10422216:1518
    7Iwata1013159:1310
    8Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo10220610:1510
    9Fukushima Utd10202615:288
    10Nagano1010369:266


    West A
    PlWWLLPts
    1Tokushima10800227:524
    2Toyama10530225:1521
    3Kochi United10611219:1321
    4Albirex Niigata10331314:1216
    5Kanazawa10232311:1614
    6Ehime10312412:1413
    7Kamatamare1040067:1812
    8Osaka1021347:1111
    9Imabari1021256:1110
    10Nara Club10202613:268


    West B
    PlWWLLPts
    1Tegevajaro Miyazaki10900123:727
    2Kagoshima Utd10621115:723
    3Sagan Tosu10411411:1015
    4Renofa Yamaguchi10411412:1215
    5Oita Trinita10410513:1214
    6Kumamoto10401511:1413
    7Reilac Shiga940147:1013
    8Gainare Tottori922148:1211
    9Ryukyu10122510:169
    10Giravanz Kitakyushu1020178:187

          Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Play Offs: )
          Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )