Result
1:2
05/02/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 2
- Referee: Arleu B. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Ecuador | El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 Mexico | Azteca 7, Azteca Deportes, Fanatiz |
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Spain | Movistar Plus+, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1 |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 2.13 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 68% | 32% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (498/551) | 75% (202/270) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 2.13 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 1.78 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (498/551) | 75% (202/270) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 67% (14/21) | 45% (23/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 82% (145/177) | 68% (50/74) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 12% (5/41) | 40% (2/5) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 1.09 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (11/14) | 90% (9/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 30 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.78 | 0.66 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.22 | -0.34 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 19', 1 - 0, Matheus Pereira ⚽, Romero L. (A),
- 36', Pedro Rocha 🟨,
- 45', 1 - 1, Lavega J. ⚽, Bruno Melo (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Gomez S. ↓, Vini Paulista ↑,
- 46', Arroyo K. ↓, Wanderson ↑,
- 53', 1 - 2, Breno Lopes ⚽,
- 56', Kaiki 🟨,
- 59', William ↓, Fagner ↑,
- 59', Romero L. ↓, Matheus Henrique ↑,
- 67', Fabricio Bruno 🟨,
- 68', Breno Lopes ↓, Keno ↑,
- 73', Tiago Coser ↓, Jacy ↑,
- 73', Lavega J. ↓, Fernando Sobral ↑,
- 79', Gerson ↓, Lucas Silva ↑,
- 83', Kaiki ↓, Kaua Prates ↑,
- 88', Maicon ↓, Thiago Santos ↑,
- 88', Jacy 🟨,
- 90+7', Matheus Pereira 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cruzeiro
67.9% | Draw
21.7% | Coritiba
10.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cruzeiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cruzeiro's performance.Coritiba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (-5.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cruzeiro that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coritiba than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
Cruzeiro - Coritiba Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.39 ↓
(1.48) |
4.33 ↑
(3.98) |
9.21 ↑
(6.3) |
6%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Cruzeiro - Coritiba?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Cruzeiro will win (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Coritiba will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cruzeiro will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Coritiba may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Cruzeiro is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in Cruzeiro: Marquinhos
(Knee Injury)
Matheus Cunha
(Inactive)
Sinisterra L.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Coritiba: Josue
(Red Card)
Lucas Crepaldi
(Inactive)
Rodrigo Rodrigues
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Cruzeiro: Chico
(Injury)
Villalba L.
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 18:16. (average 1.1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cruzeiro won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:5. (average 1.5:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Cruzeiro won against Coritiba?
Cruzeiro has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Coritiba won against Cruzeiro?
Coritiba has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cruzeiro - Coritiba were as follows:
11.11.2023
Coritiba
-
Cruzeiro
1:0
16.07.2023
Cruzeiro
-
Coritiba
0:0
Latest results of Cruzeiro
Latest results of Coritiba
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12:5 | 7 | 10 |
| 2 | Sao Paulo | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | Corinthians | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Bahia | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Fluminense | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 7 |
| 6 | Athletico-PR | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 7 |
| 7 | Bragantino | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 7 |
| 8 | Gremio | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | Chapecoense-SC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8:6 | 2 | 5 |
| 10 | Mirassol | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:5 | 1 | 5 |
| 11 | Flamengo RJ | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Coritiba | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 4 |
| 13 | Santos | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 4 |
| 14 | Botafogo RJ | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 3 |
| 15 | Vitoria | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 |
| 16 | Remo | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6:8 | -2 | 3 |
| 17 | Atletico-MG | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 2 |
| 18 | Internacional | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 2 |
| 19 | Cruzeiro | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:9 | -5 | 2 |
| 20 | Vasco | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
