Aryna Sabalenka vs Madison Keys – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
08/01/2026 at 22:40 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Brisbane, hard - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Aces
54
Double Faults
28
1st serve percentage
55%61%
1st serve points won
72% (26/36)60% (26/43)
2nd serve points won
48% (14/29)33% (9/27)
Break Points Saved
60% (3/5)55% (6/11)
1st return points won
40% (17/43)47% (17/36)
2nd return points won
67% (18/27)52% (15/29)
Break Points Converted
45% (5/11)40% (2/5)
Service Points Won
62% (40/65)50% (35/70)
Return Points Won
50% (35/70)38% (25/65)
Total Points Won
56% (75/135)44% (60/135)
Last 10 balls
64
Match points saved
01
Service games won
78% (7/9)44% (4/9)
Return games won
56% (5/9)22% (2/9)
Total games won
67% (12/18)33% (6/18)

Chances of winning


Aryna Sabalenka
80.4%
Madison Keys
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
73% 27%

Aryna Sabalenka - Madison Keys Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.18
(1.28)

4.78
(3.45)
6%
(7.4%)
What is the prediction for Aryna Sabalenka - Madison Keys?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Sabalenka will win (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Sabalenka is ranked WTA: 1. Keys is ranked WTA: 7.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sabalenka won 4.
    • In this match, Sabalenka is the team to beat.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Sabalenka won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:5. (average 1.7:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Aryna Sabalenka - Madison Keys were as follows:
    14.03.2025 Aryna Sabalenka - Madison Keys 2:0
    25.01.2025 Aryna Sabalenka - Madison Keys 1:2
    02.10.2024 Aryna Sabalenka - Madison Keys 2:0
    07.09.2023 Madison Keys - Aryna Sabalenka 1:2
    12.07.2023 Madison Keys - Aryna Sabalenka 0:2
    Latest results of Aryna Sabalenka
    Latest results of Madison Keys
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/32-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Bye
    2Bondar A. (Q)Bucsa C.1 : 2
    3Cirstea S.Pavlyuchenkova A.2 : 0
    4ByeOstapenko J. (14)
    5Shnaider D. (12)Bye
    6Kasatkina D.Potapova A.1 : 2
    7Arango E.Kessler M.0 : 2
    8ByeKeys M. (5)
    9Rybakina E. (3)Bye
    10Zhang S. (Q)Krueger A.2 : 1
    11Cristian J.Bouzkova M.0 : 2
    12ByeBadosa P. (15)
    13Muchova K. (11)Bye
    14Jacquemot E.Tomljanovic A. (WC)0 : 2
    15Kenin S.Ruse G. (Q)2 : 1
    16ByeAlexandrova E. (7)
    17Tauson C. (8)Bye
    18Sasnovich A. (Q)Blinkova A.2 : 0
    19Maria T.Jones E. (WC)0 : 2
    20ByeSamsonova L. (10)
    21Fernandez L. (13)Bye
    22Yastremska D.Gibson T. (WC)2 : 0
    23Valentova T.Kalinskaya A.0 : 2
    24ByePegula J. (4)
    25Andreeva M. (6)Bye
    26Gadecki O. (Q)Li A.2 : 0
    27Vondrousova M.Frech M.1 : 2
    28ByeNoskova L. (9)
    29Kostyuk M. (16)Bye
    30Putintseva Y.Baptiste H.2 : 0
    31Birrell K. (WC)Sramkova R. (Q)2 : 1
    32ByeAnisimova A. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Bucsa C.2 : 0
    2Cirstea S.Ostapenko J. (14)2 : 0
    3Shnaider D. (12)Potapova A.2 : 0
    4Kessler M.Keys M. (5)0 : 2
    5Rybakina E. (3)Zhang S.2 : 0
    6Bouzkova M.Badosa P. (15)1 : 2
    7Muchova K. (11)Tomljanovic A.2 : 1
    8Kenin S.Alexandrova E. (7)0 : 2
    9Tauson C. (8)Sasnovich A.0 : 2
    10Jones E.Samsonova L. (10)0 : 2
    11Fernandez L. (13)Yastremska D.0 : 2
    12Kalinskaya A.Pegula J. (4)1 : 2
    13Andreeva M. (6)Gadecki O.2 : 1
    14Frech M.Noskova L. (9)1 : 2
    15Kostyuk M. (16)Putintseva Y.2 : 1
    16Birrell K.Anisimova A. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Cirstea S.2 : 0
    2Shnaider D. (12)Keys M. (5)1 : 2
    3Rybakina E. (3)Badosa P. (15)2 : 0
    4Muchova K. (11)Alexandrova E. (7)2 : 0
    5Sasnovich A.Samsonova L. (10)0 : 2
    6Yastremska D.Pegula J. (4)1 : 2
    7Andreeva M. (6)Noskova L. (9)2 : 1
    8Kostyuk M. (16)Anisimova A. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Keys M. (5)2 : 0
    2Rybakina E. (3)Muchova K. (11)1 : 2
    3Samsonova L. (10)Pegula J. (4)0 : 2
    4Andreeva M. (6)Kostyuk M. (16)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Muchova K. (11)
    2Pegula J. (4)Kostyuk M. (16)

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2