Miami Marlins vs Baltimore Orioles – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

05/05/2026 at 18:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLB
  • Where to Watch on TV:
worldWorldMLB.TV

Chances of winning


Miami Marlins
54.6%
Baltimore Orioles
45.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.2% 47.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9% 49.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Miami Marlins has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • Baltimore Orioles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miami Marlins than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baltimore Orioles than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • Miami Marlins - Baltimore Orioles Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.78
    (1.84)

    2.12
    (2.01)
    3.6%
    (4.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 8.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)
    What is the prediction for Miami Marlins - Baltimore Orioles?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Miami will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Baltimore will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Miami: 23.1%88.1%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Baltimore (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 5:3.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Miami won 3.
    • The current form of both teams is below expectations.
    • Recently, Miami has had a series of home games.
    • Recently, Baltimore has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Miami won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 98:88. (average 4.9:4.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Miami won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 39:33. (average 4.9:4.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Miami Marlins - Baltimore Orioles were as follows:
    13.07.2025 Baltimore Orioles - Miami Marlins 1:11
    12.07.2025 Baltimore Orioles - Miami Marlins 0:6
    11.07.2025 Baltimore Orioles - Miami Marlins 5:2
    25.07.2024 Miami Marlins - Baltimore Orioles 6:7
    24.07.2024 Miami Marlins - Baltimore Orioles 6:3
    Latest results of Baltimore Orioles
    MLB Table
    Main

    American League
    PlWLPCT
    1New York Yankees352411192:1160.686
    2Tampa Bay Rays342212152:1410.647
    3Athletics341816149:1590.529
    4Cleveland Guardians361818148:1550.500
    5Detroit Tigers361818162:1450.500
    6Chicago White Sox351718150:1590.486
    7Seattle Mariners361719148:1450.472
    8Texas Rangers341618127:1280.471
    9Toronto Blue Jays351619144:1620.457
    10Kansas City Royals351619146:1590.457
    11Baltimore Orioles351520155:1960.429
    12Minnesota Twins351520165:1700.429
    13Boston Red Sox351421135:1530.400
    14Houston Astros361422181:2090.389
    15Los Angeles Angels361323158:1790.361


    National League
    PlWLPCT
    1Atlanta Braves362511209:1290.694
    2Chicago Cubs352312190:1470.657
    3Los Angeles Dodgers352213183:1150.629
    4St.Louis Cardinals352114172:1690.600
    5San Diego Padres342014147:1490.588
    6Cincinnati Reds352015145:1680.571
    7Pittsburgh Pirates351916180:1490.543
    8Milwaukee Brewers341816175:1330.529
    9Arizona Diamondbacks331617150:1810.485
    10Washington Nationals351619180:1970.457
    11Miami Marlins351619146:1480.457
    12Philadelphia Phillies351520132:1740.429
    13San Francisco Giants351421109:1420.400
    14Colorado Rockies361422152:1760.389
    15New York Mets351322122:1510.371