Horsens vs Middelfart – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Danish 1 Division Horsens - Middelfart
Result
2:0
09/08/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 1st Division - Round 4
  • Referee: Bogelund J. (Den)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
norwayNorwayViaplay
swedenSwedenViaplay

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.070.08
Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
182
Shots on target
130
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
61
Passes
90% (491/545)77% (253/328)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
2.070.08
xG on target (xGOT)
1.350.00
Total shots
182
Shots on target
130
Shots off target
40
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
122
Shots outside the Box
60
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
61
Touches in opposition box
2512
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
816
Passes
90% (491/545)77% (253/328)
Long passes
44% (17/39)44% (27/62)
Passes in final third
78% (79/101)61% (67/109)
Crosses
15% (3/20)10% (1/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.680.44
Throw-ins
820
Fouls
189
Tackles
89% (17/19)82% (9/11)
Duels won
4748
Clearances
3015
Interceptions
78
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
011
xGOT faced
0.001.35
Goals prevented
0.00-0.65

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 32', Pingel S. 🟨,
  • 38', Wielzen J. 🟨,
  • 43', 1 - 0, Pingel S. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 56', 2 - 0, Pingel S. ,
  • 59', Jorgensen L. , Bytyqi B. ,
  • 59', Boesen M. , Akale A. ,
  • 60', Kolskogen O. , Roslyng F. ,
  • 71', Roslyng F. 🟨,
  • 72', Milicevic I. , Madsen J. ,
  • 73', Pingel S. , Sene F. ,
  • 73', Doua S. , Ouorou Y. ,
  • 83', Tape C. , Ludwig A. ,

Chances of winning


Horsens
62%
Draw
22.4%
Middelfart
15.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66.1% 20.3% 13.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.5% 18.3% 15.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Horsens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • Middelfart has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Horsens than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Middelfart than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • Horsens - Middelfart Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.5
    (1.4)
    4.28
    (4.55)
    6.3
    (6.8)
    5.9%
    (8.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Horsens - Middelfart?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Horsens (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 in the zone 1st Division (Relegation Group: ) and 11 in the zone 1st Division (Relegation Group: )).
    • Horsens has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Middelfart is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Middelfart may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Middelfart has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Horsens is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Horsens won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:1. (average 2.8:0.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Horsens won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:1. (average 2.7:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Horsens - Middelfart were as follows:
    18.07.2023 Horsens - Middelfart 2:1
    Latest results of Horsens
    04.08.2025 Hvidovre - Horsens 0:0
    25.07.2025 Horsens - Kolding IF 2:1
    19.07.2025 Horsens - Aarhus Fremad 0:0
    12.07.2025 Lyngby BK - Horsens 1:0
    02.07.2025 AGF Aarhus - Horsens 2:1
    Latest results of Middelfart
    05.08.2025 OKS Odense - Middelfart 2:3
    02.08.2025 Middelfart - Esbjerg 0:1
    27.07.2025 Hobro - Middelfart 0:0
    19.07.2025 Hillerød - Middelfart 2:1
    05.07.2025 HB Køge - Middelfart 5:0
    Danish 1 Division Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kolding IF43017:349
    2Horsens42204:138
    3Lyngby42116:337
    4Hillerod42117:707
    5Koge42025:6-16
    6Esbjerg42023:5-26
    7B.9341217:525
    8Aalborg41215:415
    9Hvidovre IF41214:405
    10Aarhus Fremad41124:5-14
    11Hobro40222:7-52
    12Middelfart40131:5-41

          Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: )
          1st Division (Relegation Group: )