Italy W vs Sweden W, FIFA World Cup Women – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
03/03/2026 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • World Cup Women - Qualification - League A
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyRAI 2, RaiPlay
swedenSwedenDiscovery+, SVT 2, SVT Play
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.710.41
Ball possession
58%42%
Total shots
126
Shots on target
21
Big chances
10
Corner kicks
51
Passes
78% (313/399)74% (221/297)
Yellow cards
51
Expected goals (xG)
0.710.41
xG on target (xGOT)
0.340.17
Total shots
126
Shots on target
21
Shots off target
82
Blocked shots
23
Shots inside the box
94
Shots outside the box
32
Hit the woodwork
10
Big chances
10
Corner kicks
51
Touches in opposition box
2718
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
23
Free kicks
1814
Passes
78% (313/399)74% (221/297)
Long passes
41% (20/49)32% (14/44)
Passes in final third
62% (69/111)63% (64/101)
Crosses
13% (3/24)9% (1/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.240.33
Throw ins
2714
Fouls
1418
Tackles
67% (12/18)53% (10/19)
Duels won
6551
Clearances
2228
Interceptions
410
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper saves
03
xGOT faced
0.170.34
Goals prevented
-0.830.34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 22', 0 - 1, Angeldal F. , Schroder F. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 48', Di Guglielmo L. 🟨,
  • 51', Cambiaghi M. 🟨,
  • 62', Cantore S. , Piemonte M. ,
  • 62', Cambiaghi M. , Beccari C. ,
  • 68', Severini E. 🟨,
  • 69', Schroder F. , Blomqvist R. ,
  • 74', Jusu Bah M. , Rolfo F. ,
  • 75', Severini E. , Greggi G. ,
  • 80', Bonansea B. 🟨,
  • 84', Giugliano M. , Dragoni G. ,
  • 84', Bonansea B. , Girelli C. ,
  • 85', Girelli C. 🟨,
  • 85', Zigiotti Olme J. 🟨,
  • 87', Kaneryd J. , Ijeh E. ,

Chances of winning


Italy W
22.9%
Draw
28.4%
Sweden W
48.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.8% 27.8% 44.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Italy W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
  • Sweden W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
  • Italy W - Sweden W Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.42
    (3.23)
    3.39
    (3.23)
    1.95
    (2.02)
    3.4%
    (11.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Italy W - Sweden W?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Italy won 0.
    • Sweden will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Italy won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:17. (average 1:1.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Italy W - Sweden W were as follows:
    30.05.2025 Italy W - Sweden W 0:0
    04.04.2025 Sweden W - Italy W 3:2
    31.10.2023 Sweden W - Italy W 1:1
    26.09.2023 Italy W - Sweden W 0:1
    29.07.2023 Sweden W - Italy W 5:0
    Latest results of Italy W
    01.12.2025 USA W - Italy W 2:0
    28.11.2025 USA W - Italy W 3:0
    28.10.2025 Italy W - Brazil W 0:1
    24.10.2025 Italy W - Japan W 1:1
    22.07.2025 England W - Italy W 2:1
    Latest results of Sweden W
    02.12.2025 Sweden W - France W 2:2
    28.11.2025 France W - Sweden W 2:1
    28.10.2025 Sweden W - Spain W 0:1
    24.10.2025 Spain W - Sweden W 4:0
    17.07.2025 Sweden W - England W 2:3
    FIFA World Cup Women Table
    Europe

    Group 1
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Denmark W21104:224
    2Sweden W21101:014
    3Italy W20111:2-11
    4Serbia W20111:3-21


    Group 2
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1France W22006:246
    2Netherlands W21104:314
    3Poland W20113:6-31
    4Ireland W20022:4-20


    Group 3
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1England W22008:176
    2Spain W22006:156
    3Iceland W20020:5-50
    4Ukraine W20022:9-70


    Group 4
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Germany W22009:096
    2Norway W21011:4-33
    3Slovenia W21011:5-43
    4Austria W20020:2-20

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