Result
2:3
12/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Segunda Division - Round 24
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 3)
- 4', 0 - 1, Hernandez A. (Pen),
- 21', 0 - 2, Hernandez A. ⚽,
- 29', 0 - 3, Brun N. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 70', 1 - 3, ⚽,
- 80', 2 - 3, ⚽,
- 85', 🟥,
Chances of winning
Cerrito
26.8% | Draw
29.3% | Oriental de La Paz
44% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cerrito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cerrito's form might have worsened.Oriental de La Paz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Oriental de La Paz's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerrito than the current prediction. (+6.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cerrito, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oriental de La Paz than the current prediction. (-6.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Oriental de La Paz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Cerrito - Oriental de La Paz Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.57 ↑
(2.66) |
3.27 ↑
(3.18) |
2.17 ↓
(2.4) |
4.6%
(10.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Cerrito - Oriental de La Paz?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 12 and 9).
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Oriental may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerrito won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1.4:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cerrito won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Cerrito won against Oriental de La Paz?
Cerrito has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Oriental de La Paz won against Cerrito?
Oriental de La Paz has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cerrito - Oriental de La Paz were as follows:
20.07.2025
Oriental de La Paz
-
Cerrito
1:1
03.11.2024
Cerrito
-
Oriental de La Paz
3:1
13.07.2024
Oriental de La Paz
-
Cerrito
2:1
29.11.2023
Cerrito
-
Oriental de La Paz
2:1
23.07.2023
Oriental de La Paz
-
Cerrito
2:0
Latest results of Cerrito
Latest results of Oriental de La Paz
Uruguayan Segunda Division Table
Torneo CompetenciaGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cerrito | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Huracan FC | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 2 |
| 3 | Uruguay Montevideo | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 2 |
| 4 | Fenix | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
| 5 | La Luz | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
| 6 | Tacuarembo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | Atenas | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 1 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Oriental | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 4 |
| 2 | Plaza Colonia | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Colon | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | Rentistas | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
| 5 | River Plate | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 1 |
| 6 | Miramar | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 7 | Paysandu FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Segunda Division (Torneo Competencia ~ Play Offs: Final)
