Mercedes vs El Porvenir – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Primera C Mercedes - El Porvenir
27/06/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera C - Round 15

Match Stats

Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
34
Shots on target
01
Corner Kicks
43
Total shots
34
Shots on target
01
Shots off target
33
Corner Kicks
43
Goalkeeper Saves
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Mercedes
34.7%
Draw
29.8%
El Porvenir
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.6% 27.7% 34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8% 26.8% 33.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mercedes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • El Porvenir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mercedes than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Porvenir than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • Mercedes - El Porvenir Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.64
    (2.4)
    3.08
    (3.25)
    2.58
    (2.6)
    9.1%
    (10.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 10 and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mercedes won 2.
    • In recent matches, Mercedes has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • El Porvenir is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Mercedes won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.7:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Mercedes won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mercedes - El Porvenir were as follows:
    18.03.2025 El Porvenir - Mercedes 2:1
    11.09.2024 Mercedes - El Porvenir 1:0
    10.04.2024 El Porvenir - Mercedes 4:0
    06.11.2023 El Porvenir - Mercedes 0:0
    23.07.2023 Mercedes - El Porvenir 1:0
    Latest results of Mercedes
    Latest results of El Porvenir
    Draw
    Qualification - Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1ClaypoleCentral Ballester3 : 1, 3 : 1
    2CanuelasLugano3 : 1, 2 : 0
    3CSR EspanolVictoriano A.1 : 0
    4Deportivo MunizYupanqui1 : 4, 1 : 2
    5MercedesDeportivo Paraguayo2 : 0, 0 : 0
    6AtlasDef. de Cambaceres1 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1ClaypoleCanuelas
    2TBD #3Yupanqui
    3MercedesTBD #6

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3Bye

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2