KuPS Kuopio vs Derry City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:3
03/08/2023 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - QUARTER-FINALS
  • Referee: Bel D. (Cro)

Chances of winning


KuPS Kuopio
43.4%
Draw
30.2%
Derry City
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.7% 28.3% 29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3% 28.7% 28.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • KuPS Kuopio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • Derry City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for KuPS Kuopio than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derry City than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • KuPS Kuopio - Derry City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.15
    (2.15)
    3.06
    (3.24)
    3.57
    (3.16)
    7.2%
    (9.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for KuPS Kuopio - Derry City?
  • Users Predictions: KuPS Kuopio will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 69.47%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-2.
    • KuPS is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Derry in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Derry could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Derry have a series of home games.
    • KuPS will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches KuPS won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between KuPS Kuopio - Derry City were as follows:
    27.07.2023 Derry City - KuPS Kuopio 2:1
    Latest results of KuPS Kuopio
    30.07.2023 KuPS Kuopio - KTP Kotka 2:0
    27.07.2023 Derry City - KuPS Kuopio 2:1
    17.07.2023 Inter Turku - KuPS Kuopio 1:1
    08.07.2023 KuPS Kuopio - VPS Vaasa 0:1
    Latest results of Derry City
    27.07.2023 Derry City - KuPS Kuopio 2:1
    23.07.2023 Derry City - Athlone Town 3:0
    20.07.2023 Derry City - HB Tórshavn 1:0
    13.07.2023 HB Tórshavn - Derry City 0:0
    07.07.2023 Derry City - Sligo Rovers 2:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1KuPS (21)Lech Poznan (11)0 : 1, 0 : 2
    2Shakhtar Donetsk (6)Bye
    3Noah (19)AZ Alkmaar (14)0 : 4, 1 : 0
    4Sparta Prague (4)Bye
    5Zrinjski (23)Crystal Palace (10)0 : 2, 1 : 1
    6AEK Larnaca (8)Bye
    7Jagiellonia (17)Fiorentina (15)4 : 2, 0 : 3
    8Rakow (2)Bye
    9Shkendija (22)Samsunspor (12)0 : 4, 0 : 1
    10Rayo Vallecano (5)Bye
    11Drita (20)Celje (13)2 : 3, 2 : 3
    12AEK Athens (3)Bye
    13Sigma Olomouc (24)Lausanne (9)2 : 1, 1 : 1
    14Mainz (7)Bye
    15Omonia (18)Rijeka (16)1 : 3, 0 : 1
    16Strasbourg (1)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1Lech Poznan (11)Shakhtar Donetsk (6)2 : 1, 1 : 3
    2AZ Alkmaar (14)Sparta Prague (4)4 : 0, 2 : 1
    3Crystal Palace (10)AEK Larnaca (8)2 : 1, 0 : 0
    4Fiorentina (15)Rakow (2)2 : 1, 2 : 1
    5Samsunspor (12)Rayo Vallecano (5)1 : 0, 1 : 3
    6Celje (13)AEK Athens (3)2 : 0, 0 : 4
    7Sigma Olomouc (24)Mainz (7)0 : 2, 0 : 0
    8Rijeka (16)Strasbourg (1)1 : 1, 1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Shakhtar Donetsk (6)AZ Alkmaar (14)
    2Crystal Palace (10)Fiorentina (15)
    3Rayo Vallecano (5)AEK Athens (3)
    4Mainz (7)Strasbourg (1)

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2