Result
66:74
10/08/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Field Goals Attempted |
|---|
| 69 | 65 |
| Field Goals Made |
|---|
| 24 | 25 |
| Field Goals % |
|---|
| 34.8% | 38.5% |
| 2-Point Field G. Attempted |
|---|
| 46 | 33 |
| 2-Point Field Goals Made |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| 2-Point Field Goals % |
|---|
| 39.1% | 48.5% |
| 3-Point Field G. Attempted |
|---|
| 23 | 32 |
| 3-Point Field Goals Made |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| 3-Point Field Goals % |
|---|
| 26.1% | 28.1% |
| Free Throws Attempted |
|---|
| 14 | 19 |
| Free Throws Made |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Free Throws % |
|---|
| 85.7% | 78.9% |
| Offensive Rebounds |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Defensive Rebounds |
|---|
| 25 | 29 |
| Total Rebounds |
|---|
| 34 | 38 |
| Assists |
|---|
| 16 | 20 |
| Blocks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Turnovers |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Steals |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Personal Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 15 |
Chances of winning
Phoenix Mercury
56.9% | Atlanta Dream
43.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Phoenix Mercury has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)Atlanta Dream has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Phoenix Mercury than the current prediction. (+3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlanta Dream than the current prediction. (-3%)
Phoenix Mercury - Atlanta Dream Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.7 ↑
(1.56) |
|
2.23 ↓
(2.34) |
3.7%
(6.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 166.00The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)
What is the prediction for Phoenix Mercury - Atlanta Dream?
Users Predictions:
Atlanta Dream will win
(20 of 21 users predict this - 95.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 86.13% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Atlanta Dream will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 85:81.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ WNBA (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ WNBA (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Phoenix won 2.
- Phoenix has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Atlanta is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Atlanta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Phoenix might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Phoenix won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 1545:1555. (average 77.3:77.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Phoenix won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 827:777. (average 82.7:77.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Phoenix Mercury won against Atlanta Dream?
Phoenix Mercury has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlanta Dream won against Phoenix Mercury?
Atlanta Dream has won 5 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Phoenix Mercury - Atlanta Dream were as follows:
01.08.2025
Atlanta Dream
-
Phoenix Mercury
96:72
23.07.2025
Phoenix Mercury
-
Atlanta Dream
79:90
03.09.2024
Phoenix Mercury
-
Atlanta Dream
74:66
23.08.2024
Atlanta Dream
-
Phoenix Mercury
80:82
21.08.2024
Atlanta Dream
-
Phoenix Mercury
72:63
Latest results of Phoenix Mercury
Latest results of Atlanta Dream
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Minnesota Lynx W (1) | Golden State Valkyries W (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Phoenix Mercury W (4) | New York Liberty W (5) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Las Vegas Aces W (2) | Seattle Storm W (7) | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Atlanta Dream W (3) | Indiana Fever W (6) | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Minnesota Lynx W (1) | Phoenix Mercury W (4) | 1 : 1 |
| 2 | Las Vegas Aces W (2) | Indiana Fever W (6) | 1 : 1 |
