Result
2:1
07/03/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premiership - Round 25
- Referee: McFarlane D. (Sco)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Dundee TV, Motherwell TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 1.35 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 33% | 67% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (222/292) | 87% (533/610) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 1.35 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 1.19 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 12 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 39 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (222/292) | 87% (533/610) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (28/66) | 53% (20/38) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (43/77) | 82% (195/239) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (4/12) | 12% (3/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 2.04 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (18/28) | 79% (15/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 63 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 48 | 10 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.19 | 1.14 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.19 | -0.86 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 32', 1 - 0, Yogane T. ⚽,
- 35', Said I. 🟨,
- 38', Fadinger L. ↓, Priestman O. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', O'Donnell S. ↓, Sparrow T. ↑,
- 46', Said I. ↓, Bjorgolfsson E. ↑,
- 48', Graham L. 🟨,
- 62', Yogane T. ↓, Westley J. ↑,
- 63', Murray S. ↓, Hay A. ↑,
- 63', Cotterill J. ↓, Robertson F. ↑,
- 67', Longelo E. ↓, Charles-Cook R. ↑,
- 71', Robertson F. 🟨,
- 78', 1 - 1, Slattery C. ⚽,
- 80', Hamilton E. 🟨,
- 84', 2 - 1, Robertson F. ⚽, Westley J. (A),
- 85', Just E. ↓, Nicholson S. ↑,
- 90+1', Dhanda Y. ↓, Halliday B. ↑,
- 90+2', Congreve C. 🟨,
- 90+2', McGinn P. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Dundee
22.3% | Draw
26.3% | Motherwell
51.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dundee has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)Motherwell has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dundee than the current prediction. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Motherwell than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Dundee - Motherwell Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.25 ↓
(4.67) |
3.57 ↑
(3.37) |
1.85 ↑
(1.74) |
5.8%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Dundee - Motherwell?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Dundee will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Motherwell will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Motherwell: 35.9% – 97.5%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Dundee (2.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Motherwell (1.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Motherwell will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 15 high ROI users predict this event. Dundee (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Motherwell (votes: 12 - 80%). Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dundee won 1.
- In recent matches, Dundee has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Motherwell is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Recently, Dundee has had a series of away games.
- Motherwell will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Dundee: Koumetio B.
(Knee Injury)
Robertson C.
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in Motherwell: Charles-Cook R.
(Ankle Injury)
Hendry C.
(Injury)
Robinson Z.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Watt E.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Motherwell: Koutroumbis J.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dundee won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 24:31. (average 1.2:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Dundee won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:16. (average 1.3:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Dundee won against Motherwell?
Dundee has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Motherwell won against Dundee?
Motherwell has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Dundee - Motherwell were as follows:
20.12.2025
Motherwell
-
Dundee
1:0
13.09.2025
Dundee
-
Motherwell
1:1
03.05.2025
Dundee
-
Motherwell
1:2
26.02.2025
Motherwell
-
Dundee
2:1
04.12.2024
Dundee
-
Motherwell
4:1
Latest results of Motherwell
Scottish Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Hearts ✔ | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 52:25 | 27 | 63 |
| 2 | Celtic ✔ | 30 | 19 | 4 | 7 | 56:32 | 24 | 61 |
| 3 | Rangers ✔ | 30 | 16 | 12 | 2 | 52:25 | 27 | 60 |
| 4 | Motherwell ✔ | 30 | 14 | 11 | 5 | 49:23 | 26 | 53 |
| 5 | Hibernian ✔ | 30 | 12 | 11 | 7 | 48:35 | 13 | 47 |
| 6 | Falkirk | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 38:38 | 0 | 43 |
| 7 | Dundee Utd | 30 | 7 | 13 | 10 | 38:48 | -10 | 34 |
| 8 | Dundee FC ✔ | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 31:48 | -17 | 32 |
| 9 | Aberdeen ✔ | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 30:42 | -12 | 30 |
| 10 | St. Mirren ✔ | 30 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 23:46 | -23 | 24 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock ✔ | 30 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 33:60 | -27 | 24 |
| 12 | Livingston ✔ | 30 | 1 | 12 | 17 | 31:59 | -28 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )
Premiership (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Hearts is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Celtic is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Rangers is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Motherwell is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Hibernian is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Dundee FC is Premiership (Relegation Group )
Aberdeen is Premiership (Relegation Group )
St. Mirren is Premiership (Relegation Group )
Kilmarnock is Premiership (Relegation Group )
Livingston is Premiership (Relegation Group )
