Result
0:2
03/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 18
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Austria | DAZN |
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globo Internacional TV, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Ecuador | El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Israel | Sport 3, Sport 4 |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones, #Vamos |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 1.58 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (410/488) | 80% (306/383) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 1.58 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 1.84 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (410/488) | 80% (306/383) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (27/50) | 47% (27/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (94/133) | 71% (75/106) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (7/25) | 22% (4/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 0.87 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (8/14) | 55% (6/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 16 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.84 | 0.50 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.16 | 0.50 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 9', Barboza A. 🟨,
- 23', 0 - 1, Christian ⚽, Kaiki (A),
- 26', Christian 🟨,
- 41', 0 - 2, Matheus Pereira ⚽, Kaio Jorge (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Kaio ↓, David Ricardo ↑,
- 54', Allan 🟨,
- 59', Artur ↓, Correa J. ↑,
- 59', Alex Telles ↓, Cuiabano ↑,
- 59', Allan ↓, Newton ↑,
- 61', Kaiki 🟨,
- 70', Marlon Freitas ↓, Danilo ↑,
- 70', Wanderson ↓, Marquinhos ↑,
- 75', Correa J. 🟨,
- 89', Matheus Pereira ↓, Eduardo ↑,
- 89', Christian ↓, Matheus Henrique ↑,
- 90+4', Kaio Jorge ↓, Diaz L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Botafogo RJ
36.9% | Draw
31.7% | Cruzeiro
31.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Botafogo RJ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)Cruzeiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Botafogo RJ, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
Botafogo RJ - Cruzeiro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.93 ↑
(2.33) |
3.28 ↑
(3.19) |
3.28 ↑
(3.19) |
-4.7%
(5.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Botafogo RJ - Cruzeiro?
Users Predictions:
Botafogo RJ will win
(69 of 79 users predict this - 87.34%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.01% – 94.67%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Botafogo RJ will win (22 of 24 users predict this - 91.67%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Botafogo won 0.
- Botafogo is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Cruzeiro has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Cruzeiro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Botafogo might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Botafogo: Bastos
(Knee Injury)
Danilo Barbosa
(Inactive)
Jeffinho
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Cruzeiro: Fagner
(Broken Leg)
Joao Marcelo
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Botafogo: Danilo
(Lacking Match Fitness)
- There are questionable in Cruzeiro: Janderson
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Botafogo won 2 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 16:29. (average 0.8:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Botafogo won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:19. (average 1.1:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Botafogo RJ won against Cruzeiro?
Botafogo RJ has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cruzeiro won against Botafogo RJ?
Cruzeiro has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Botafogo RJ - Cruzeiro were as follows:
27.07.2024
Botafogo RJ
-
Cruzeiro
0:3
14.04.2024
Cruzeiro
-
Botafogo RJ
3:2
03.12.2023
Botafogo RJ
-
Cruzeiro
0:0
06.08.2023
Cruzeiro
-
Botafogo RJ
0:0
Latest results of Botafogo RJ
Latest results of Cruzeiro
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 36:9 | 27 | 43 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 24:15 | 9 | 39 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 32:14 | 18 | 38 |
| 4 | Bahia | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 25:17 | 8 | 33 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 23:11 | 12 | 29 |
| 6 | Mirassol | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 29:19 | 10 | 29 |
| 7 | Sao Paulo | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 24:22 | 2 | 29 |
| 8 | Fluminense | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 23:24 | -1 | 27 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 22:26 | -4 | 27 |
| 10 | Ceara | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 19:19 | 0 | 25 |
| 11 | Atletico-MG | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 20:21 | -1 | 24 |
| 12 | Internacional | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 22:26 | -4 | 24 |
| 13 | Gremio | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 19:25 | -6 | 23 |
| 14 | Corinthians | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 19:25 | -6 | 22 |
| 15 | Santos | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 20:29 | -9 | 21 |
| 16 | Vasco | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 25:26 | -1 | 19 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 20 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 19 |
| 18 | Juventude | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 17:38 | -21 | 18 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 19:31 | -12 | 15 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 18 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 12:27 | -15 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
