Result
5:1
21/03/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 28
- Referee: Taleb A. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Andorra | beIN Sports 1 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 6 |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 1, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Israel | Sport 5 Max |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 6 |
 Slovakia | Nova Sport 1, Voyo |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.69 | 0.96 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (430/489) | 83% (288/349) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.69 | 0.96 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.35 | 0.50 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 35 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (430/489) | 83% (288/349) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 66% (31/47) | 36% (16/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (119/159) | 65% (52/80) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (3/16) | 42% (5/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.04 | 1.15 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 67% (6/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.50 | 3.35 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.50 | -1.65 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 1', 1 - 0, Adeline M. ⚽, Diawara K. (A),
- 21', 1 - 1, Bokele Mputu M. ⚽, Sekongo A. (A),
- 24', Zossou A. 🟥,
- 38', Bokele Mputu M. ↓, Doucet L. ↑,
- 43', Diong P. 🟨,
- 45', 2 - 1, Bentayeb T. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 75', 3 - 1, Bentayeb T. ⚽, Adeline M. (A),
- 76', Lagae B. ↓, Makhloufi M. ↑,
- 76', Sekongo A. ↓, Sylvestre E. ↑,
- 77', Bardeli E. ↓, Kante A. ↑,
- 77', Kante A. 🟨,
- 78', Maronnier L. ↓, Titi Y. ↑,
- 79', Adeline M. ↓, Ripart R. ↑,
- 82', Linguet A. ↓, Seha Z. ↑,
- 87', 4 - 1, Ripart R. ⚽, Detourbet M. (A),
- 88', Boura I. ↓, Ouzenadji A. ↑,
- 89', Diawara K. ↓, El Idrissy M. ↑,
- 89', Mille A. ↓, Chavalerin X. ↑,
- 90+4', 5 - 1, El Idrissy M. ⚽, Titi Y. (A),
Chances of winning
Troyes
49.6% | Draw
27.4% | Dunkerque
23% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Troyes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Troyes's performance.Dunkerque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dunkerque might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Troyes than the current prediction. (-5.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Troyes that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dunkerque than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dunkerque could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Troyes - Dunkerque Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.91 ↓
(2.16) |
3.38 ↑
(3.33) |
4.05 ↑
(3.16) |
6.7%
(8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Troyes - Dunkerque?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -0.75 - Troyes (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Troyes will win
(13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Troyes (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Troyes won 1.
- Troyes has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Dunkerque has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Troyes is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Troyes: Boucher Z.
(Inactive)
Gozzi P.
(Broken Leg)
Ifnaoui M.
(Injury)
Lemaitre N.
(Knee Injury)
Phliponeau A.
(Injury)
Traore I.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Dunkerque: Abner F.
(Inactive)
Daho A.
(Inactive)
Eguaras I.
(Inactive)
Essimi M.
(Inactive)
Massock T.
(Inactive)
Sasso V.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Troyes: Monfray A.
(Inactive)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Troyes won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.4:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Troyes won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Troyes won against Dunkerque?
Troyes has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dunkerque won against Troyes?
Dunkerque has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Troyes - Dunkerque were as follows:
29.08.2025
Dunkerque
-
Troyes
2:0
25.04.2025
Troyes
-
Dunkerque
1:0
04.10.2024
Dunkerque
-
Troyes
2:1
24.02.2024
Troyes
-
Dunkerque
1:2
05.08.2023
Dunkerque
-
Troyes
2:2
Latest results of Dunkerque
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes ✔ | 33 | 20 | 7 | 6 | 60:32 | 28 | 67 |
| 2 | Le Mans | 33 | 15 | 14 | 4 | 48:31 | 17 | 59 |
| 3 | St Etienne | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 54:38 | 16 | 57 |
| 4 | Red Star | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 44:36 | 8 | 57 |
| 5 | Rodez | 33 | 14 | 13 | 6 | 43:38 | 5 | 55 |
| 6 | Reims | 33 | 13 | 14 | 6 | 48:32 | 16 | 53 |
| 7 | Annecy | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 48:37 | 11 | 52 |
| 8 | Montpellier | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 40:30 | 10 | 50 |
| 9 | Pau FC | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 45:57 | -12 | 45 |
| 10 | Dunkerque | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 51:42 | 9 | 43 |
| 11 | Guingamp | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 42:48 | -6 | 40 |
| 12 | Grenoble | 33 | 7 | 15 | 11 | 32:39 | -7 | 36 |
| 13 | Boulogne | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 33:47 | -14 | 36 |
| 14 | Clermont | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 37:44 | -7 | 34 |
| 15 | Nancy | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 32:50 | -18 | 34 |
| 16 | Laval | 33 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 28:47 | -19 | 29 |
| 17 | Bastia | 33 | 5 | 13 | 15 | 23:37 | -14 | 28 |
| 18 | Amiens ✔ | 33 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 37:60 | -23 | 24 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
Clinched Spots for Teams
Troyes is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Ligue 1
Amiens is Relegated to National
