Result
30:16
22/08/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Pacific Nations Cup - Round 1
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 5 |
 New-zealand | Sky Sport 2 |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Portugal | Sport TV3 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Conversion Goals |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Conversion Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty Goals |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Penalty Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total Runs |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Metres Run With Ball |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (20 - 6)
- 7', Moala S. (Try),
- 8', Pellegrini P. (Conversion Goal),
- 19', Pellegrini P. (Penalty Goal),
- 25', Takulua T. (Try),
- 26', Pellegrini P. (Conversion Goal),
- 32', Alatimu A. M. (Penalty Goal),
- 36', Pellegrini P. (Penalty Goal),
- 39', Alatimu A. M. (Penalty Goal),
- 2nd Half (10 - 10)
- 57', Tuitama T. (Try),
- 67', Pellegrini P. (Penalty Goal),
- 76', Moli S. (Try),
- 77', Pellegrini P. (Conversion Goal),
- 80', Nanai M. (Try),
Chances of winning
Tonga
32.7% | Draw
3.9% | Samoa
63.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tonga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)Samoa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
Tonga - Samoa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.79 ↓
(3) |
23.39 ↑
(23) |
1.44 ↑
(1.36) |
9.7%
(11.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 50.50The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tonga won 0.
- In this match, Samoa is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Tonga won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 160:270. (average 17.8:30).
How many head-to-head matches has Tonga won against Samoa?
Tonga has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Samoa won against Tonga?
Samoa has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tonga - Samoa were as follows:
30.08.2024
Samoa
-
Tonga
43:17
04.08.2023
Samoa
-
Tonga
34:9
Pacific Nations Cup Rugby Union Table
2025Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tonga | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 30:16 | 4 |
| 2 | Fiji | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 | Samoa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:30 | 0 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Canada | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 34:20 | 5 |
| 2 | Japan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 | USA | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:34 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Pacific Nations Cup (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Pacific Nations Cup (5th~6th places: )
