Magdalena Frech vs Peyton Stearns – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

28/08/2025 at 12:55 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY).

WTA - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/32-finals
Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max

Match Stats


Aces
5	3
Double Faults
5	8
1st Serve Percentage
62%	58%
1st Serve Points Won
60% (40/67)	62% (38/61)
2nd Serve Points Won
59% (24/41)	36% (16/45)
Break Points Saved
50% (4/8)	59% (10/17)
Average 1st Serve Speed
147 km/h	153 km/h
Average 2nd Serve Speed
122 km/h	119 km/h
1st Return Points Won
46% (28/61)	40% (27/67)
2nd Return Points Won
64% (29/45)	41% (17/41)
Break Points Converted
41% (7/17)	50% (4/8)
Winners
24	40
Unforced Errors
33	65
Net Points Won
70% (7/10)	81% (13/16)
Service Points Won
59% (64/108)	51% (54/106)
Return Points Won
49% (52/106)	41% (44/108)
Total Points Won
54% (116/214)	46% (98/214)
Last 10 Balls
5	5
Match Points Saved
0	0
Service Games Won
73% (11/15)	50% (7/14)
Return Games Won
50% (7/14)	27% (4/15)
Total Games Won
62% (18/29)	38% (11/29)
Distance Covered (metres)
1155	1202

Chances of winning

Magdalena Frech
35.9%

Peyton Stearns
64.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

59.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

62.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Magdalena Frech has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Peyton Stearns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Magdalena Frech than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peyton Stearns than the current prediction. (-2%)

Magdalena Frech - Peyton Stearns Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↑ (2.36)		1.48 ↓ (1.63)	5% (3.8%)

What is the prediction for Magdalena Frech - Peyton Stearns?

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Frech will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Stearns will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Frech: 35.2% – 92%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Frech (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.

Preview Facts

Frech is ranked WTA: 33. Stearns is ranked WTA: 54.
Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
Stearns may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Stearns is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Frech won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).

How many head-to-head matches has Magdalena Frech won against Peyton Stearns?

Magdalena Frech has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Peyton Stearns won against Magdalena Frech?

Peyton Stearns has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Magdalena Frech - Peyton Stearns were as follows:

06.08.2023 Peyton Stearns - Magdalena Frech 2:0

01.08.2023 Peyton Stearns - Magdalena Frech 2:0

Latest results of Magdalena Frech

25.08.2025 Magdalena Frech - Talia Gibson 2:0 ✺

09.08.2025 Magdalena Frech - Sorana Cirstea 1:2 ✺

30.07.2025 Yulia Starodubtseva - Magdalena Frech 2:0 ✺

25.07.2025 Elena Rybakina - Magdalena Frech 2:0 ✺

24.07.2025 Venus Williams - Magdalena Frech 0:2 ✺

Latest results of Peyton Stearns

25.08.2025 Darja Semenistaja - Peyton Stearns 0:2 ✺

18.08.2025 Peyton Stearns - Yafan Wang 1:2 ✺

09.08.2025 Anna Kalinskaya - Peyton Stearns 2:1 ✺

07.08.2025 Peyton Stearns - Yafan Wang 2:0 ✺

30.07.2025 Emma Raducanu - Peyton Stearns 2:0 ✺

Draw

Singles - Main

1/64-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Masarova R.	2 : 0
2	Parrizas-Diaz N. (RET.)	Kudermetova P.	0 : 0
3	Jacquemot E.	Bouzkova M.	2 : 0
4	Marino R. (Q)	Fernandez L. (31)	0 : 2
5	Mertens E. (19)	Ahn A. (WC)	2 : 0
6	Sun L.	Osorio C.	2 : 1
7	Bucsa C.	Liu C. (Q)	2 : 0
8	Eala A.	Tauson C. (14)	2 : 1
9	Rybakina E. (9)	Pareja J. (WC)	2 : 0
10	Bronzetti L.	Valentova T. (Q)	1 : 2
11	Raducanu E.	Shibahara E. (Q)	2 : 0
12	Tjen J. (Q)	Kudermetova V. (24)	2 : 1
13	Kessler M. (32)	Linette M.	2 : 0
14	Selekhmeteva O. (Q)	Vondrousova M.	0 : 2
15	Sasnovich A.	Jovic I.	0 : 2
16	Aiava D. (Q)	Paolini J. (7)	0 : 2
17	Pegula J. (4)	Sherif M.	2 : 0
18	Starodubtseva Y.	Blinkova A.	0 : 2
19	Azarenka V.	Inoue H. (Q)	2 : 0
20	Pavlyuchenkova A.	Yastremska D. (30)	2 : 1
21	Samsonova L. (17)	Yuan Y.	2 : 1
22	Jeanjean L.	Hon P. (Q)	0 : 2
23	Li A.	Sramkova R.	2 : 1
24	Zhang S. (Q)	Bencic B. (16)	0 : 2
25	Navarro E. (10)	Wang Y.	2 : 0
26	Teichmann J.	McNally C. (WC)	0 : 2
27	Uchijima M.	Danilovic O.	2 : 1
28	Krejcikova B.	Mboko V. (22)	2 : 0
29	Ostapenko J. (25)	Wang Xiy. (Q)	2 : 0
30	Townsend T.	Ruzic A.	2 : 0
31	Potapova A.	Zhu L.	2 : 1
32	Parks A.	Andreeva M. (5)	0 : 2
33	Keys M. (6)	Zarazua R.	1 : 2
34	Kvitova P.	Parry D.	0 : 2
35	Volynets K. (Q)	Sonmez Z.	0 : 2
36	Boulter K.	Kostyuk M. (27)	0 : 2
37	Noskova L. (21)	Galfi D. (Q)	2 : 0
38	Jones F. (Q)	Lys E.	0 : 2
39	Cirstea S.	Sierra S.	2 : 0
40	Williams V. (WC)	Muchova K. (11)	1 : 2
41	Kasatkina D. (15)	Ruse G.	2 : 0
42	Rakhimova K.	Garcia C. (WC)	2 : 1
43	Baptiste H.	Siniakova K.	2 : 0
44	Minnen G.	Osaka N. (23)	0 : 2
45	Frech M. (28)	Gibson T. (WC)	2 : 0
46	Semenistaja D. (Q)	Stearns P.	0 : 2
47	Vekic D.	Bouzas Maneiro J.	2 : 1
48	Tomljanovic A.	Gauff C. (3)	1 : 2
49	Anisimova A. (8)	Birrell K.	2 : 0
50	Jimenez Kasintseva V. (Q)	Joint M.	0 : 2
51	Collins D.	Cristian J.	0 : 2
52	Krueger A.	Kenin S. (26)	2 : 1
53	Haddad Maia B. (18)	Kartal S.	2 : 1
54	Boisson L.	Golubic V.	1 : 2
55	Sakkari M.	Maria T.	2 : 0
56	Bondar A.	Svitolina E. (12)	2 : 0
57	Alexandrova E. (13)	Sevastova A.	2 : 0
58	Dolehide C.	Wang Xin.	1 : 2
59	Zakharova A.	Avanesyan E.	2 : 0
60	Siegemund L.	Shnaider D. (20)	2 : 1
61	Kalinskaya A. (29)	Ngounoue C. (WC)	2 : 1
62	Putintseva Y.	Cocciaretto E.	2 : 0
63	Lamens S.	Glozman V. (WC)	2 : 0
64	Arango E.	Swiatek I. (2)	0 : 2

1/32-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Kudermetova P.	2 : 0
2	Jacquemot E.	Fernandez L. (31)	1 : 2
3	Mertens E. (19)	Sun L.	2 : 0
4	Bucsa C.	Eala A.	2 : 0
5	Rybakina E. (9)	Valentova T.	2 : 0
6	Raducanu E.	Tjen J.	2 : 0
7	Kessler M. (32)	Vondrousova M.	0 : 2
8	Jovic I.	Paolini J. (7)	0 : 2
9	Pegula J. (4)	Blinkova A.	2 : 0
10	Azarenka V.	Pavlyuchenkova A.	2 : 0
11	Samsonova L. (17)	Hon P.	1 : 2
12	Li A.	Bencic B. (16)	2 : 0
13	Navarro E. (10)	McNally C.	2 : 0
14	Uchijima M.	Krejcikova B.	0 : 2
15	Ostapenko J. (25)	Townsend T.	0 : 2
16	Potapova A.	Andreeva M. (5)	0 : 2
17	Zarazua R.	Parry D.	1 : 2
18	Sonmez Z.	Kostyuk M. (27)	1 : 2
19	Noskova L. (21)	Lys E. (RET.)	1 : 0
20	Cirstea S.	Muchova K. (11)	1 : 2
21	Kasatkina D. (15)	Rakhimova K.	2 : 1
22	Baptiste H.	Osaka N. (23)	0 : 2
23	Frech M. (28)	Stearns P.	2 : 1
24	Vekic D.	Gauff C. (3)	0 : 2
25	Anisimova A. (8)	Joint M.	2 : 0
26	Cristian J.	Krueger A.	2 : 1
27	Haddad Maia B. (18)	Golubic V.	2 : 0
28	Sakkari M.	Bondar A.	2 : 0
29	Alexandrova E. (13)	Wang Xin.	2 : 0
30	Zakharova A.	Siegemund L.	0 : 2
31	Kalinskaya A. (29)	Putintseva Y.	2 : 0
32	Lamens S.	Swiatek I. (2)	1 : 2

1/16-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Fernandez L. (31)	2 : 0
2	Mertens E. (19)	Bucsa C.	1 : 2
3	Rybakina E. (9)	Raducanu E.	2 : 0
4	Vondrousova M.	Paolini J. (7)	2 : 0
5	Pegula J. (4)	Azarenka V.	2 : 0
6	Hon P.	Li A.	0 : 2
7	Navarro E. (10)	Krejcikova B.	1 : 2
8	Townsend T.	Andreeva M. (5)	2 : 0
9	Parry D.	Kostyuk M. (27)	1 : 2
10	Noskova L. (21)	Muchova K. (11)	1 : 2
11	Kasatkina D. (15)	Osaka N. (23)	1 : 2
12	Frech M. (28)	Gauff C. (3)	0 : 2
13	Anisimova A. (8)	Cristian J.	2 : 1
14	Haddad Maia B. (18)	Sakkari M.	2 : 0
15	Alexandrova E. (13)	Siegemund L.	2 : 0
16	Kalinskaya A. (29)	Swiatek I. (2)	0 : 2

1/8-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Bucsa C.	2 : 0
2	Rybakina E. (9)	Vondrousova M.	1 : 2
3	Pegula J. (4)	Li A.	2 : 0
4	Krejcikova B.	Townsend T.	2 : 1
5	Kostyuk M. (27)	Muchova K. (11)	1 : 2
6	Osaka N. (23)	Gauff C. (3)	2 : 0
7	Anisimova A. (8)	Haddad Maia B. (18)	2 : 0
8	Alexandrova E. (13)	Swiatek I. (2)	0 : 2

Quarter-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (WO.) (1)	Vondrousova M.
2	Pegula J. (4)	Krejcikova B.	2 : 0
3	Muchova K. (11)	Osaka N. (23)	0 : 2
4	Anisimova A. (8)	Swiatek I. (2)	2 : 0

Semi-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Pegula J. (4)	2 : 1
2	Osaka N. (23)	Anisimova A. (8)	1 : 2

Final

1

Sabalenka A. (1)

Anisimova A. (8)

2 : 0