Result
1:0
07/04/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- LaLiga2 - Round 34
- Referee: De La Fuente O. (Esp)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Albania | SuperSport 4 |
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 2 |
 Chile | DirecTV Sports |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 4 |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free |
 Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch |
 Greece | Nova Sports Start |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 North-central-america | DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Peru | DirecTV Sports |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
 Portugal | DAZN 3 |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3 |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 3 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 South-america | DGO Latin America |
 Spain | DAZN Espana, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 2 |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1 |
 Thailand | AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
 Turkey | S Sport+ |
 United-kingdom | Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player |
 Uruguay | DirecTV Sports |
 Venezuela | DirecTV Sports, Inter |
 World | DirecTV Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 0.23 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (431/506) | 77% (227/295) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 0.23 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 0.11 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 10 |
| Through passes |
|---|
| 100% (1/1) | 0% (0/1) |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (431/506) | 77% (227/295) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (35/63) | 54% (29/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (118/155) | 56% (33/59) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (7/26) | 14% (2/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 0.22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (9/18) | 46% (6/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 44 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 7 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.11 | 1.22 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.11 | 0.22 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 38', 1 - 0, Josan ⚽, Mercau N. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 59', Josan ↓, Valera G. ↑,
- 59', Diaby B. ↓, Bigas P. ↑,
- 68', Martinez B. 🟨,
- 70', Garcia N. ↓, Blanco R. ↑,
- 70', Dorrio J. ↓, Nacho ↑,
- 74', Alvarez A. ↓, El Ghezouani M. ↑,
- 74', Mercau N. ↓, Plano O. ↑,
- 76', Salinas J. 🟨,
- 78', Gimenez A. ↓, Jauregi E. ↑,
- 78', Sanz A. ↓, Borrego C. ↑,
- 79', Aguado M. ↓, Donald J. ↑,
- 88', Bunuel A. ↓, Pena H. ↑,
Chances of winning
Elche
67.1% | Draw
21.7% | Ferrol
11.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Elche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)Ferrol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elche than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Elche, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Elche - Ferrol Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.39 ↑
(1.38) |
4.32 ↓
(4.71) |
8.56 ↑
(8.03) |
6.6%
(6.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Elche - Ferrol?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Elche will win (votes: 19 - 95%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Elche: 85.4% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.75 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Elche (1.64) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5 - Elche (2.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.25 - Ferrol (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Elche will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Elche (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Ferrol (votes: 1 - 12.5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga and 21 in the zone Relegation).
- Elche is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Ferrol has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- In this match Elche is absolute favorite.
- There will not play in Elche: Santiago Y.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Ferrol: Cabaco E.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Ferrol: Correa R.
(Injury)
Perea L.
(Ankle Injury)
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Elche won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 0:3 (average 0:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Elche won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1
How many head-to-head matches has Elche won against Ferrol?
Elche has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ferrol won against Elche?
Ferrol has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Elche - Ferrol were as follows:
05.10.2024
Ferrol
-
Elche
1:0
31.03.2024
Ferrol
-
Elche
1:0
12.08.2023
Elche
-
Ferrol
0:1
Spanish LaLiga2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Santander | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 56:36 | 20 | 53 |
| 2 | Castellon | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 46:29 | 17 | 49 |
| 3 | Almeria | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 53:40 | 13 | 49 |
| 4 | Dep. La Coruna | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 44:31 | 13 | 49 |
| 5 | Malaga | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 41:31 | 10 | 47 |
| 6 | Las Palmas | 28 | 11 | 12 | 5 | 34:22 | 12 | 45 |
| 7 | Ceuta | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 36:39 | -3 | 44 |
| 8 | Burgos CF | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 30:26 | 4 | 43 |
| 9 | Gijon | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 38:36 | 2 | 42 |
| 10 | Cordoba | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 38:37 | 1 | 41 |
| 11 | Eibar | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 31:30 | 1 | 38 |
| 12 | Andorra | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 35:40 | -5 | 35 |
| 13 | Albacete | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 33:39 | -6 | 35 |
| 14 | Cadiz CF | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 29:35 | -6 | 35 |
| 15 | Leganes | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 29:28 | 1 | 34 |
| 16 | Real Sociedad B | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 38:39 | -1 | 34 |
| 17 | Granada CF | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 32:33 | -1 | 32 |
| 18 | Valladolid | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 29:38 | -9 | 32 |
| 19 | Huesca | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 26:37 | -11 | 30 |
| 20 | Cultural Leonesa | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 27:44 | -17 | 27 |
| 21 | Mirandes | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 28:45 | -17 | 24 |
| 22 | Zaragoza | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 23:41 | -18 | 24 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga
Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation
