Result
2:0
07/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Gaucho - Relegation - Round 6
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.39 | 0.89 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (285/338) | 84% (353/419) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.39 | 0.89 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.57 | 0.50 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (285/338) | 84% (353/419) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (17/44) | 61% (36/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (58/85) | 67% (78/116) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (5/13) | 36% (5/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 0.38 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (14/21) | 71% (10/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.50 | 2.57 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.50 | 0.57 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 37', 1 - 0, Fabinho Polhao ⚽,
- 39', Jean Martim 🟨,
- 44', 2 - 0, Caio Rangel ⚽, Luan Santos (A),
- 45+2', Fabinho Polhao 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Luan Santos ↓, Henrique Marcos ↑,
- 46', Marcao 🟨,
- 54', Yago Alves 🟨,
- 54', Yago Alves ↓, Carlos Gabriel ↑,
- 57', Henrique Marcos 🟨,
- 62', Camargo ↓, Medina F. ↑,
- 68', Jean Martim ↓, Jean Carlos ↑,
- 68', Adailson ↓, Talles ↑,
- 75', Paulinho Souza ↓, Allan ↑,
- 84', Thiago Goncalves ↓, Jean Carlos ↑,
- 84', Raphinha ↓, Hiago Lucas ↑,
- 85', Caio Rangel ↓, Rick Sena ↑,
Chances of winning
Monsoon
42.4% | Draw
31.4% | Guarany de Bagé
26.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Monsoon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)Guarany de Bagé has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monsoon than the current prediction. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guarany de Bagé than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Monsoon - Guarany de Bagé Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.17 ↓
(2.41) |
2.91 ↑
(2.73) |
3.53 ↑
(3.23) |
8.7%
(9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- Monsoon has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Guarany de Bagé is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Guarany de Bagé may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Monsoon might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monsoon won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.4:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Monsoon won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Monsoon won against Guarany de Bagé?
Monsoon has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Guarany de Bagé won against Monsoon?
Guarany de Bagé has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Monsoon - Guarany de Bagé were as follows:
06.02.2026
Guarany de Bagé
-
Monsoon
0:0
10.01.2026
Guarany de Bagé
-
Monsoon
1:1
06.02.2025
Monsoon
-
Guarany de Bagé
1:3
13.08.2023
Monsoon
-
Guarany de Bagé
0:0
06.08.2023
Guarany de Bagé
-
Monsoon
1:0
Latest results of Monsoon
Latest results of Guarany de Bagé
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Internacional | Sao Luiz | 3 : 1 |
| 2 | SER Caxias | Ypiranga FC | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Juventude | EC Sao Jose | 3 : 2 |
| 4 | Gremio | Novo Hamburgo | 1 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Internacional | Ypiranga FC | 4 : 0, 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Juventude | Gremio | 1 : 2, 1 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Internacional | Gremio | 1 : 1, 0 : 3 |
