Result
2:1
20/01/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- National League - Round 28
- Where to Watch on TV:
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|---|
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 12', 0 - 1, Storey L. ⚽, Ward K. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 51', Storey L. 🟥,
- 53', Butterfield J. ↓, Melbourne M. ↑,
- 57', Campbell A. ↓, Folarin S. ↑,
- 57', Hunter J. ↓, Daly M. ↑,
- 60', Newton T. ↓, Bowen S. ↑,
- 60', Amantchi L. ↓, Edwards C. ↑,
- 74', Parkes T. ↓, Brown P. ↑,
- 77', Chadwick B. ↓, Flint W. ↑,
- 78', Miley J. ↓, Johnson D. ↑,
- 81', 1 - 1, Reid A. ⚽,
- 89', 2 - 1, Daly M. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Hartlepool United
61.8% | Draw
21.2% | Gateshead
17% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hartlepool United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hartlepool United's form might have worsened.Gateshead has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hartlepool United than the current prediction. (-13.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hartlepool United that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gateshead than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Hartlepool United - Gateshead Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.5 ↑
(1.39) |
4.4 ↓
(4.65) |
5.32 ↓
(7.06) |
8.2%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Hartlepool United - Gateshead?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Hartlepool will win (votes: 9 - 90%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hartlepool: 71.4% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Hartlepool (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Hartlepool (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 9 and 24 in the zone Relegation).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hartlepool won 3.
- Recent performances by Hartlepool have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Gateshead is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Hartlepool may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Hartlepool is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Hartlepool won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:26. (average 2:2.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hartlepool won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 2.3:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Hartlepool United won against Gateshead?
Hartlepool United has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gateshead won against Hartlepool United?
Gateshead has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hartlepool United - Gateshead were as follows:
23.09.2025
Gateshead
-
Hartlepool United
0:1
21.04.2025
Hartlepool United
-
Gateshead
3:2
26.12.2024
Gateshead
-
Hartlepool United
4:3
26.03.2024
Gateshead
-
Hartlepool United
7:1
12.08.2023
Hartlepool United
-
Gateshead
2:1
Latest results of Hartlepool United
Latest results of Gateshead
English National League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | York City | 35 | 25 | 8 | 2 | 92:32 | 60 | 83 |
| 2 | Rochdale | 34 | 26 | 4 | 4 | 65:23 | 42 | 82 |
| 3 | Carlisle | 35 | 22 | 5 | 8 | 64:42 | 22 | 71 |
| 4 | Boreham Wood | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 65:42 | 23 | 64 |
| 5 | Forest Green | 36 | 17 | 11 | 8 | 60:42 | 18 | 62 |
| 6 | Scunthorpe | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 60:49 | 11 | 61 |
| 7 | FC Halifax | 36 | 15 | 8 | 13 | 55:53 | 2 | 53 |
| 8 | Southend | 31 | 15 | 7 | 9 | 52:29 | 23 | 52 |
| 9 | Hartlepool | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 42:37 | 5 | 51 |
| 10 | Tamworth | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 45:54 | -9 | 45 |
| 11 | Solihull Moors | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 58:54 | 4 | 43 |
| 12 | Boston Utd | 35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 46:51 | -5 | 43 |
| 13 | Aldershot | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 60:63 | -3 | 42 |
| 14 | Altrincham | 35 | 12 | 4 | 19 | 41:54 | -13 | 40 |
| 15 | Wealdstone | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 38:51 | -13 | 39 |
| 16 | Eastleigh | 35 | 10 | 9 | 16 | 44:60 | -16 | 39 |
| 17 | Woking | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 41:38 | 3 | 38 |
| 18 | Yeovil | 33 | 11 | 5 | 17 | 35:47 | -12 | 38 |
| 19 | Sutton | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 48:56 | -8 | 36 |
| 20 | Brackley Town | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 28:44 | -16 | 36 |
| 21 | Braintree | 35 | 8 | 9 | 18 | 27:51 | -24 | 33 |
| 22 | Morecambe | 35 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 46:75 | -29 | 27 |
| 23 | Gateshead | 33 | 7 | 5 | 21 | 39:76 | -37 | 26 |
| 24 | Truro | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 33:61 | -28 | 24 |
Promotion ~ League Two
Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
