Polonia Środa Wielkopolska vs Noteć Czarnków – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:6
24/10/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • III Liga - Group II - Round 14

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 3)
  • 11', 0 - 1, Magdziarz K. ,
  • 16', 0 - 2, Milachowski K. ,
  • 37', 1 - 2, Mackowiak M. ,
  • 41', 1 - 3, Mierzwa J. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 46', 1 - 4, Kuskowski M. ,
  • 50', 2 - 4, Bartkowiak B. ,
  • 61', 2 - 5, Kuskowski M. ,
  • 90+1', 2 - 6, Norkowski L. ,

Chances of winning


Polonia Środa Wielkopolska
59.3%
Draw
20.5%
Noteć Czarnków
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55% 21.9% 23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.2% 21.1% 22.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Polonia Środa Wielkopolska has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
  • Noteć Czarnków has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polonia Środa Wielkopolska than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Noteć Czarnków than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Noteć Czarnków Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.54
    (1.67)
    4.46
    (4.2)
    4.53
    (3.97)
    9.3%
    (8.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 and 13).
    • Środa Wielkopolska is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Noteć Czarnków's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Środa Wielkopolska is the team to beat.
    • We predict that Środa Wielkopolska will win today's game, with odds of 1.6.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Środa Wielkopolska won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 2:2.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Środa Wielkopolska won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:6. (average 1.5:3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Noteć Czarnków were as follows:
    01.03.2025 Noteć Czarnków - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska 2:4
    10.08.2024 Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Noteć Czarnków 2:2
    02.03.2024 Noteć Czarnków - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska 3:1
    11.08.2023 Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Noteć Czarnków 1:4
    Polish Division 3 - Group II Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Zawisza21144347:163146
    2Luzino22143549:272245
    3Sroda21143444:281645
    4Elana Torun22134535:251043
    5Lech Poznan II22113846:311536
    6Swinoujscie20104628:20834
    7Cartusia Kartuzy21111932:29334
    8Kluczevia Stargard2295834:26832
    9Blekitni Stargard2295837:32532
    10Lipno Steszew2294929:35-631
    11Wda Swiecie2294924:37-1331
    12Notec Czarnkow2185830:29129
    13Nowe Skalmierzyce22571019:33-1422
    14Unia Swarzedz22561121:30-921
    15Pogon Szczecin II22631340:51-1121
    16Wrzesnia21511520:32-1216
    17Tluchowo21441317:39-2216
    18Rewal22341510:42-3213

          Promotion ~ Division 2
          Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation