Gençlerbirliği vs Umraniyespor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
10/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 1. Lig - Round 33
  • Referee: Tokail F. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaTOD
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.701.94
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
1512
Shots on target
56
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
82% (323/394)82% (327/401)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.701.94
xG on target (xGOT)
0.771.40
Total shots
1512
Shots on target
56
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
99
Shots outside the Box
63
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
3019
Offsides
14
Free Kicks
1010
Passes
82% (323/394)82% (327/401)
Long passes
41% (15/37)37% (16/43)
Passes in final third
71% (91/128)69% (61/88)
Crosses
39% (9/23)22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.510.84
Fouls
1010
Tackles
53% (8/15)53% (10/19)
Duels won
5353
Clearances Total
1827
Interceptions
95
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
53
xGOT faced
1.400.77
Goals prevented
0.40-1.23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 45+1', Nalepa M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Onur S. , Etebo P. ,
  • 50', Benny (Pen),
  • 54', Leo Gaucho , Popa D. ,
  • 54', Nalepa M. , Cagiran B. ,
  • 57', Babacan A. 🟨,
  • 59', 0 - 1, Soukou C. , Babacan A. (A),
  • 64', Kabak A. , Okyar M. ,
  • 66', Yildirim P. , Celik B. ,
  • 73', Joao L. 🟥,
  • 77', Babacan A. , Uzum F. ,
  • 82', Babacan A. , Djokanovic A. ,
  • 82', Yildirim O. , Eser M. ,
  • 88', Soukou C. , Ekincier B. ,
  • 89', 1 - 1, Osmanoglu S. ,
  • 90+1', Oksuz B. 🟨,
  • 90+2', 2 - 1, Popa D. , Uzum F. (A),
  • 90+7', Mimaroglu M. 🟨,
  • 90+9', Cavare D. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Gençlerbirliği
54.5%
Draw
25.2%
Umraniyespor
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.7% 25.9% 23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5% 25.8% 23.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gençlerbirliği has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • Umraniyespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gençlerbirliği than the current prediction. (-4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Umraniyespor than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • Gençlerbirliği - Umraniyespor Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.71
    (1.82)
    3.66
    (3.57)
    4.61
    (3.94)
    7.4%
    (8.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Gençlerbirliği - Umraniyespor?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Gençlerbirliği will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 73.92%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Gençlerbirliği will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 13).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Gençlerbirliği won 1.
    • Recent matches Gençlerbirliği is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Umraniyespor is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • In this match Gençlerbirliği is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Umraniyespor: Djokanovic A. (Injury) Kocaturk Y. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Gençlerbirliği: Gureler Y. (Injury)
    • Last 7 head-to-head matches Gençlerbirliği won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13:13 (average 1.9:1.9).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Gençlerbirliği won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:6 (average 2:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gençlerbirliği - Umraniyespor were as follows:
    01.12.2024 Umraniyespor - Gençlerbirliği 3:3
    14.01.2024 Umraniyespor - Gençlerbirliği 1:1
    13.08.2023 Gençlerbirliği - Umraniyespor 2:1
    Latest results of Gençlerbirliği
    Latest results of Umraniyespor
    Turkish First League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Erzurumspor28179260:194160
    2Erokspor28178367:224559
    3Amedspor28167558:322655
    4Corum28155844:311350
    5Bodrumspor28146858:292948
    6Pendikspor28139643:222148
    7Igdir FK28128838:37144
    8Bandirmaspor281261040:32842
    9Keciorengucu281010853:361740
    10Manisa FK281171042:41140
    11Boluspor281151247:40738
    12Vanspor FK281081039:32738
    13Sivasspor28911836:29738
    14Istanbulspor AS28911837:41-438
    15Sariyer281051330:35-535
    16Umraniyespor28951433:38-532
    17Serik Spor28851529:54-2529
    18Sakaryaspor28671534:52-1825
    19Hatayspor28072120:77-577
    20Adana Demirspor ✔ 28032516:125-109-39

          Promotion ~ Super Lig
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Adana Demirspor is Relegated to